Lol · resolved market
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs P11 Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22f6ca0031974918f426b95781fd44be7d8ba82c1b908ef9aae736dfcf91535e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GMBLERS ESPORTSof GMBLERS ESPORTS, P11 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked P11 Esports | 62c | 9,025$5,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,639.27 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 36c | 2,897$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.26 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…23afbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 59c | 2,443$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…6ae2backed P11 Esports | 44c | 2,298$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…b291backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 56c | 2,293$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed P11 Esports | 42c | 2,081$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.02 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…ad46backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 58c | 2,081$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.02 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…b6bdbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 40c | 1,921$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +80%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 42c | 1,716$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.22 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 45c | 1,710$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.6 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…efc2backed P11 Esports | 60c | 1,085$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.85 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 40c | 743.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.29 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 34c | 589.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 48c | 565.92$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.92 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 41c | 378.19$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.46 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdce…1588backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 34c | 308.82$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed P11 Esports | 64c | 286.67$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.34 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 35c | 275.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.61 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed P11 Esports | 33c | 252$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked P11 Esports | 61c | 139.94$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked P11 Esports | 76c | 131.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…81f2backed P11 Esports | 23c | 104.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e86…2db2backed P11 Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 246 | 29.7%73 W · 173 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb9…2b21backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 41c | 81.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…bfebbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 34c | 61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed P11 Esports | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 38c | 46.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 64c | 46.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 54c | 24.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd59e…da59backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 80c | 15.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs P11 Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GMB (-2.5) vs P11 Esports (+2.5)P11 Esports won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs P11 Esports (BO5) - LIT PlayoffsGMBLERS ESPORTS won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs P11 Esports - Game 2 WinnerP11 Esports won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs P11 Esports - Game 3 WinnerP11 Esports won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs P11 Esports - Game 4 WinnerGMBLERS ESPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.