Lol · resolved market
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs P11 Esports - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x236177df23efa63124a2d4891568ec5be5a9b5cf9fb9a749ec5e53f0a6990093
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- P11 Esportsof GMBLERS ESPORTS, P11 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed P11 Esports | 40c | 1,389$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…b291backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 60c | 1,389$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 71c | 1,230$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.64 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794e…4247backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 3c | 751.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 75 | 0%0 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed P11 Esports | 30c | 750$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed P11 Esports | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked P11 Esports | 13c | 107.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.14 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 79c | 58.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed P11 Esports | 28c | 56.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 72c | 53.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed P11 Esports | 28c | 48.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 72c | 42.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2e…2794backed P11 Esports | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs P11 Esports - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GMB (-2.5) vs P11 Esports (+2.5)P11 Esports won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs P11 Esports (BO5) - LIT PlayoffsGMBLERS ESPORTS won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs P11 Esports - Game 1 WinnerGMBLERS ESPORTS won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs P11 Esports - Game 2 WinnerP11 Esports won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs P11 Esports - Game 4 WinnerGMBLERS ESPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.