CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x606ac56b341811bdb61db6581cca3772ac253ee326cd9829cab15e4bf6b54638
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Nexus, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nexus | 38c | 2,025$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.47 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…234fbacked Nexus | 65c | 1,576$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…ad46backed Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 1,576$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 1,188$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.32 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked Nexus | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +900%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nexus | 62c | 688.25$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.06 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 647.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.34 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nexus | 52c | 631.69$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.62 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bushido Wildcats | 52c | 608.85$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.68 | 3,262 | 50.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L | +97.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacc…fbe8backed Nexus | 67c | 600$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked Nexus | 53c | 500.67$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.22 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0716…5ff1backed Bushido Wildcats | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 465.21$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.81 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bushido Wildcats | 41c | 463.19$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.28 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nexus | 41c | 453.29$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.03 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Nexus | 55c | 193.7$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.67 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nexus | 53c | 181.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Bushido Wildcats | 38c | 159$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 158.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Nexus | 59c | 141.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Nexus | 43c | 130.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd978…c469backed Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…7584backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 119.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Nexus | 62c | 114.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…4ec5backed Nexus | 43c | 103.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…af16backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…8b79backed Nexus | 50c | 96.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 89.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Nexus | 54c | 89.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 1,096 | 37.6%412 W · 684 L | +34.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 80.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -10.0wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Bushido Wildcats | 38c | 76.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Nexus | 47c | 68.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Nexus | 61c | 57.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bushido Wildcats | 38c | 50.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Nexus | 74c | 49.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 45.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Nexus | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Nexus | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Nexus | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…3c44backed Nexus | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed Nexus | 57c | 37.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Bushido Wildcats | 41c | 37.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd06…a25dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 32.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…2b3ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 30.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bushido Wildcats | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…2374backed Nexus | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Bushido Wildcats | 52c | 29.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…25a8backed Bushido Wildcats | 78c | 28.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Nexus | 44c | 25.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 335 | 52.5%176 W · 159 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…f474backed Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 24.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 21.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Nexus | 69c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…6fbdbacked Nexus | 64c | 18.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…ef51backed Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 16.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 WinnerNexus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.