Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x987fb3431921ec4387680861dd2b57a3d54f44761278aadfddf606aad043138e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x454f…04e7backed Under | 54c | 924.98$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…ad46backed Over | 46c | 924.98$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.49 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 51c | 505.43$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.66 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 49c | 450.62$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.78 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 49c | 316$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 49c | 255.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.16 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Over | 51c | 114.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…a17abacked Over | 52c | 97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 56c | 80.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 59.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 51c | 39.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -10.4wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…d199backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Over | 50c | 30.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…4dcebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc20d…b58bbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…f723backed Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 77c | 13.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group PerseveranceNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.