TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-03-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,560 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes66c54,379$36,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,237.3429446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No29c28,003$8,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,259.78,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No32c22,094$7,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,095.721,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes67c20,124$13,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.3612736.2%46 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No34c14,332$4,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,848.1581740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No41c13,242$5,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,415.631,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes71c12,287$8,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,597.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No32c11,367$3,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,676.353,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes68c10,001$6,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,180.198321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No33c8,800$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,87539853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No31c7,090$2,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.0637851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No34c5,598$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.4123354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No33c5,052$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No36c3,381$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.91,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes60c3,191$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.975,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes62c2,890$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.574847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No17c2,492$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.1930841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No26c1,565$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.9718160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No20c1,366$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.661,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf24e…080dbacked No36c1,157$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.682185.7%18 W · 3 L+4.9wins+0.23per pick62cpaid+37%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes69c1,030$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.311353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No31c988$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.071,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No34c900$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30612741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No33c800$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26421849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No33c587.84$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.112,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes45c583.69$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.0321839.4%86 W · 132 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea5d…d375backed No19c573.09$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.48825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No30c568$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.41618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-66%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No19c555.69$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8829747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No32c549.97$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9933745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No31c499.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15512750.4%64 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No52c484.78$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.411,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes65c447.69$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6922049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No30c405.88$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.033,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No14c399.96$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546119.7%12 W · 49 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes65c393$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.366543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes50c385$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0711334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes51c330$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.325442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No13c322.77$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3627442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes69c266.46$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7915424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No36c222$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5913545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No10c217.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6116740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No21c214.39$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7984943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3316041.3%66 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No35c196.41$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.217560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No37c184.69$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7128443%122 W · 162 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No36c182.06$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.548829.5%26 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d31…4bbebacked Yes67c167.5$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Yes61c166.48$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.549649%47 W · 49 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No16c161.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.521,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No31c160.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1749535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3a…bb1dbacked No35c157.19$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No34c157$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.042,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5131827%86 W · 232 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.252360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No36c146.08$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5631226.6%83 W · 229 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked No34c140$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.63321.2%7 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No36c138.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.950746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…479dbacked Yes72c137.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.51968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No29c120.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.841,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Yes77c120$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.631050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No17c119.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.467133.8%24 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed No34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed No30c116.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.113450%17 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed No34c115$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.544261.9%26 W · 16 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+35.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked Yes40c114.55$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.732962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a28…eff6backed Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No52c107.08$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.481,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed No41c104$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.053351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No31c103.26$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.651,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6025625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3616347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes79c97.3$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.223565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked No53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No32c92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4413548.9%66 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae1…7bb6backed Yes57c89.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.832128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…f05dbacked Yes50c87.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.91855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No34c84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5655155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Yes67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.45251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No32c79.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5421345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes74c78.66$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1712065%78 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6d…1e14backed Yes69c78.29$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.277100%7 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Yes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.635856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes63c72$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.643647.2%17 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdc…8e06backed Yes67c71.64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+41.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No31c69.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5235758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes71c65.93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0910160.4%61 W · 40 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e85…73eebacked No32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-62.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No44c61.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.127058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaff…1822backed Yes67c61.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.19862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1cf…bfb3backed Yes66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba91…ccdbbacked Yes65c59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa13a…dbdfbacked No36c59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca60…310dbacked No36c58.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Yes45c55.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.373759.5%22 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+121%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No36c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5315459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5358…44e8backed No29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154450%22 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.58457.1%48 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d4…eb10backed Yes72c48.61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.611136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.