South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-03-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17ad8899cf24202358a9f0e81edd347ee16563060724140cf6b5cf14876490e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 52c | 75,057$38,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,175.05 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 19,381$9,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,707.15 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 48c | 12,355$5,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,921.32 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 48c | 10,926$5,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.07 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 50c | 9,005$4,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,502.73 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 6,957$3,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,478.86 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 50c | 6,295$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.69 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 50c | 5,916$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 46c | 5,848$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.08 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 50c | 5,532$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.15 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 4,788$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.61 | 3,446 | 51.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L | +21.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 4,065$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.08 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 51c | 3,235$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.22 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 53c | 2,914$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.7 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked No | 50c | 2,566$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 49c | 2,423$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.42 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 68c | 1,741$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.83 | 5,821 | 45.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L | +97.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 75c | 1,696$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.55 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed No | 51c | 1,590$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 1,298$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.23 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 42c | 1,176$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.26 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 42c | 1,109$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.97 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 1,052$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.02 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 45c | 862.13$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.54 | 1,557 | 45.1%702 W · 855 L | +19.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 50c | 826$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Yes | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed Yes | 54c | 645.4$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 48c | 634$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.92 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 26c | 605.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 48c | 590$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.58 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked No | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 49c | 557$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.96 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 46c | 547$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.62 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 48c | 538$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.32 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 506.42$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.69 | 1,339 | 56.9%762 W · 577 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 47c | 476$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.72 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 50c | 447.8$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.91 | 1,055 | 49.3%520 W · 535 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 23c | 416$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 46c | 390$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 47c | 334.69$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.3 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 48c | 282.22$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.38 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 53c | 255.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 49c | 246.05$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.33 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1282…97f1backed Yes | 27c | 238.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 25c | 235.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.65 | 259 | 25.1%65 W · 194 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…3e52backed Yes | 51c | 231.93$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 224.05$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 1,442 | 51.9%748 W · 694 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 48c | 197.09$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 189.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 1,702 | 52%885 W · 817 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 187.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 1,465 | 56.8%832 W · 633 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed No | 59c | 183.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 51c | 175$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Yes | 39c | 168.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 49c | 157.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 74c | 153.04$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 42c | 144.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…5d05backed No | 52c | 143.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 50c | 141.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 52c | 138.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 136$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 47c | 128.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 1,393 | 52.6%733 W · 660 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 46c | 118.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…f05dbacked Yes | 44c | 116.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 29c | 112.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 1,271 | 56%712 W · 559 L | +71.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 50c | 110.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4c…3006backed Yes | 51c | 109$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…dd0abacked Yes | 49c | 98.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 13c | 83.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 48c | 79.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 57c | 78.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 31c | 77.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 2,648 | 54.2%1,436 W · 1,212 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 34c | 67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…3ef7backed No | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 50c | 61.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked No | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes | 32c | 59.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed No | 56c | 58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 49c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…17dcbacked Yes | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 24c | 53.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 49c | 49.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c33…d620backed No | 71c | 47.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 24c | 46.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-03-03?this page
- Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-03-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.