South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-03-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb40b6481182a6adc6b70608b3a4be5cfe1922fe72047314b2df50f6d8f592599
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes | 59c | 22,298$13,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,231.85 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 8,475$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.42 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 6,616$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.48 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 5,599$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 41c | 2,233$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.14 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 3c | 1,668$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 58c | 1,663$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.16 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed No | 40c | 1,622$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 1,483$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.2 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 1,325$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.64 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 2c | 667.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 59c | 626$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.66 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…080dbacked No | 41c | 614.02$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.66 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 41c | 488.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 41c | 423$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.43 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 22c | 412$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 19c | 317.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf76…395cbacked Yes | 61c | 276.35$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 78c | 262$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 229$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…914abacked No | 40c | 227.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 43c | 213.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 5c | 202$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…3e2dbacked No | 40c | 193.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 41c | 183.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Yes | 61c | 172.07$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 12c | 168.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb751…8d99backed No | 40c | 159$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aef…ccfbbacked Yes | 61c | 145.33$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 61c | 128$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 58c | 67.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6d…1e14backed Yes | 80c | 61.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 59c | 60.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 61c | 59.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f59abacked No | 43c | 56.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 20c | 50.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 55c | 36.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 36c | 34.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…fa69backed Yes | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 60c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked Yes | 80c | 29.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 56c | 29.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed No | 42c | 27.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 46c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…c407backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…73b4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c33…d620backed Yes | 75c | 17.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-03-03?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-03-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.