South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlético San Luis vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1496b4adbcc311e004e308deff449427039642449370461a706aa5a65b9f1b7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 3,246$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.21 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 3,197$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.39 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 2,056$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.1 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 1,537$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.84 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,017$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.76 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 78c | 846.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.62 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 17c | 593$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f9…aa84backed Yes | 23c | 516.39$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 332$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8e15backed No | 78c | 226.26$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…3632backed No | 78c | 173.61$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 13c | 157.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c4…3d41backed No | 78c | 116.52$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 24c | 104.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 23c | 99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 24c | 60.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 24c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 24c | 55.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 44.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 41.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…6c98backed No | 76c | 35.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-03-03?Yes won
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-03-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.