Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05bf15bde6cc35d0081cbb44509af5980e632f4efc97579e3c75c097d195451e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston College Eaglesof Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Boston College Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,634 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Boston College Eagles | 51c | 19,548$9,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,564.14 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 49c | 15,860$7,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,771.43 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Boston College Eagles | 26c | 7,449$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,512.63 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 51c | 5,006$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.86 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 49c | 3,309$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.19 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boston College Eagles | 48c | 1,969$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Boston College Eagles | 49c | 1,942$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.44 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Boston College Eagles | 49c | 1,614$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.36 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 52c | 1,120$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.19 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Boston College Eagles | 27c | 1,005$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Boston College Eagles | 26c | 609.87$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.3 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Boston College Eagles | 48c | 581.21$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.23 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 48c | 502.49$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.19 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 47c | 398.29$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.55 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Boston College Eagles | 49c | 303.44$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Boston College Eagles | 26c | 208.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Boston College Eagles | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Boston College Eagles | 48c | 153.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…94d0backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 52c | 133.44$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Boston College Eagles | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Boston College Eagles | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 52c | 95.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 53c | 74.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Boston College Eagles | 50c | 64.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Boston College Eagles | 57c | 55.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston College Eagles | 48c | 51.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…1beebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 42c | 46.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c33…d620backed Boston College Eagles | 52c | 42.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Boston College Eagles | 49c | 40.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 52c | 35.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Boston College Eagles | 31c | 33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 49c | 31.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Boston College Eagles | 49c | 30.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Boston College Eagles | 49c | 30.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Boston College Eagles | 49c | 30.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Boston College Eagles | 49c | 30.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 48c | 23.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-1.5)this page
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Boston College EaglesBoston College Eagles won
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Boston College Eagles: O/U 142.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.