TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Beatriz Haddad Maia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jessica Bouzas Maneiroof Jessica Bouzas Maneiro, Beatriz Haddad Maia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,292 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Beatriz Haddad Maia6c19,152$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.5780938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro61c6,618$4,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.882,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Beatriz Haddad Maia23c6,376$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.4811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro73c5,596$4,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.082,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro77c5,299$4,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.733556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro75c5,212$3,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.5281349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Beatriz Haddad Maia24c3,553$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.8217552.6%92 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8234…37b6backed Beatriz Haddad Maia22c2,823$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Beatriz Haddad Maia24c2,649$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.3630241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Beatriz Haddad Maia24c2,474$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.412,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia25c2,381$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.946,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Beatriz Haddad Maia32c2,255$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.118,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Beatriz Haddad Maia14c2,126$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9962534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Beatriz Haddad Maia31c1,667$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.8813439.6%53 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Beatriz Haddad Maia34c1,490$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Beatriz Haddad Maia28c1,477$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.4671725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Beatriz Haddad Maia23c1,436$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32820045%90 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Beatriz Haddad Maia15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro75c883.99$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.417,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Beatriz Haddad Maia24c684.22$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.945147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Beatriz Haddad Maia36c573$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.284,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia43c499.99$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9946932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Beatriz Haddad Maia24c419.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002544%11 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1361,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Beatriz Haddad Maia22c360.78$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.979951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Beatriz Haddad Maia28c358$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6537342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro61c340.56$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8227231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Beatriz Haddad Maia26c308$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1534744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Beatriz Haddad Maia23c305$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.241,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia39c301.41$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.147,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Beatriz Haddad Maia43c299.98$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9926541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro60c280.98$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3974743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Beatriz Haddad Maia26c275.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.639530.5%29 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Beatriz Haddad Maia24c268.75$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.396,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro77c255$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.659553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro57c232.56$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Beatriz Haddad Maia43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030750.5%155 W · 152 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro74c224.65$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.916,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Beatriz Haddad Maia21c215.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.491,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro68c207.03$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.724,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Beatriz Haddad Maia24c203.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8224762.3%154 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Beatriz Haddad Maia42c199.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8427344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Beatriz Haddad Maia27c199.85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0843058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro57c198.7$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.211,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf12…569cbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia23c191.26$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-62.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd1…7040backed Beatriz Haddad Maia44c181.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8023256.9%132 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia30c174.09$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.752,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b8…632abacked Beatriz Haddad Maia42c166.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014344.1%63 W · 80 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Beatriz Haddad Maia27c162.58$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4212245.1%55 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Beatriz Haddad Maia35c155$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2514458.3%84 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Beatriz Haddad Maia43c151$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.931,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6322039.1%86 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro57c140.82$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.267,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda0…6d11backed Beatriz Haddad Maia43c138.02$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017646.6%82 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Beatriz Haddad Maia34c135.35$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.413,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.291,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd359…6007backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Beatriz Haddad Maia23c97.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.853,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro58c86.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2118957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b53…3428backed Beatriz Haddad Maia24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro62c75.18$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.262,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfd6…05cbbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia39c74.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.064658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro59c73.34$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0751849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4178…8b48backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.94757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro61c64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.051,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c33…d620backed Beatriz Haddad Maia24c61.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.66742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed Beatriz Haddad Maia25c58.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.698231.7%26 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro79c50.32$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3220758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb86…7dc4backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro73c48.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.041250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37bb…89d0backed Beatriz Haddad Maia23c48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.04616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-78.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Beatriz Haddad Maia43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014639%57 W · 89 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro74c45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.865352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Beatriz Haddad Maia29c42.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3524244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb172…ffa1backed Beatriz Haddad Maia27c37.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2314828.4%42 W · 106 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb8…56ecbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro57c36.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8411256.3%63 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0990340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4816858.9%99 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.326758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e3…40a0backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7111759.8%70 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd719…e955backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.517051.8%88 W · 82 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.