South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e1b93018c6293e7ef4dbb55675057bc70f70983925c394f745cfb45fe54a111
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,393 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Under | 51c | 17,493$8,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,902.97 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Under | 49c | 9,454$4,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,632.4 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 8,191$5,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,013.21 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 5,562$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.7 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Over | 51c | 5,411$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 51c | 4,275$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.95 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 51c | 4,115$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.45 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 51c | 3,555$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.74 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 49c | 3,055$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.96 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 2,932$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.95 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 1,934$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.19 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 1,849$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.63 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 45c | 1,108$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.96 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.96 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 51c | 851$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.99 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 48c | 803$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.25 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 780.12$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.24 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Over | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…2d2abacked Under | 52c | 623.08$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 480.49$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.93 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 53c | 399.94$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.97 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 53c | 383.72$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 46c | 273$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.28 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 265.2$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 16c | 219.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 51c | 200.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 63c | 122.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over | 50c | 116.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 103.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 48c | 91.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 49c | 73.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 51c | 67.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c33…d620backed Over | 51c | 57.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked Over | 51c | 51.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…c7a6backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 62c | 48.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Under | 51c | 40.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 46c | 39.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Under | 61c | 39.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed Under | 50c | 37.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 52c | 36.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 29.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…c56dbacked Over | 44c | 28.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Over | 51c | 25.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 49c | 24.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Under | 65c | 24.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 65c | 24.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 50c | 21.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…569cbacked Under | 61c | 16.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Club Puebla won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.