South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea0d8480e25c51180dc437e512fb012206b9d9bde31630211dca964890afe9fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,419 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 2,307$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.99 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 19c | 811.87$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.3 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 29c | 499.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.99 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Over | 26c | 499.79$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.85 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 72c | 403.81$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.89 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 312.8$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.01 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Over | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 289.61$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 44c | 195.88$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.71 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 46c | 166.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed2…8958backed Over | 59c | 129.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 26c | 104$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 27c | 91.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 72.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 34c | 61.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked Under | 47c | 57.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Over | 34c | 49.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 48c | 43.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 70c | 38.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2468…9aafbacked Under | 76c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 78c | 29.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 36c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…88c4backed Under | 74c | 22.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 65c | 20.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 70c | 18.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 78c | 14.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Club Puebla won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.