South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cfa725f3b813fa4d1d84d5bf26150131d8ae353a97a5589ecfa036343786a58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,187 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 2,550$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.53 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 73c | 2,366$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.57 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 66c | 349.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 29c | 348.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 315.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c37…ad47backed Over | 80c | 215.26$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 53c | 213$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 161.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 25c | 136.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 30c | 123.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 72c | 122.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 74c | 89.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 82.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed Under | 26c | 74.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 71c | 72.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked Under | 28c | 70.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 23c | 61.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…9802backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 24c | 44.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 32c | 43.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 74c | 43.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 62c | 32.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 38c | 32.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…77e1backed Over | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 60c | 19.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Club Puebla won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.