South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1675c12d01c31e90c68e1b6716c19096d3210483f828b4b96d8ca08817b05701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Pueblaof Tigres de la UANL, Club Puebla
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,794 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Puebla | 76c | 7,081$5,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.08 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Tigres de la UANL | 24c | 4,761$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.86 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Tigres de la UANL | 25c | 1,586$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.56 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Tigres de la UANL | 25c | 1,323$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.85 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Tigres de la UANL | 24c | 898.67$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.68 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Club Puebla | 75c | 296.65$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Club Puebla | 75c | 221.29$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Club Puebla | 76c | 182$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Tigres de la UANL | 27c | 130.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Tigres de la UANL | 23c | 103.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Tigres de la UANL | 24c | 101.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Club Puebla | 76c | 72.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Club Puebla | 76c | 66.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked Club Puebla | 77c | 62.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Tigres de la UANL | 22c | 57.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Club Puebla | 73c | 47.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Club Puebla | 76c | 46.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Club Puebla | 76c | 45.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Club Puebla | 73c | 36.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed Club Puebla | 76c | 32.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Club Puebla | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Club Puebla | 76c | 28.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Club Puebla | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Club Puebla | 77c | 22.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Club Puebla | 76c | 20.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Club Puebla | 77c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Club Puebla | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5f…9417backed Club Puebla | 76c | 19.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…8e37backed Club Puebla | 77c | 15.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2434…1ad7backed Club Puebla | 78c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)this page
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Club Puebla won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.