Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x945b6ffa2e6887ddf6832fca62c918b6b6589e79ad09deef590f03c9c363630c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Terriersof Navy Midshipmen, Boston Terriers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,082 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Boston Terriers | 52c | 18,189$9,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,802.07 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Navy Midshipmen | 48c | 9,237$4,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,433.71 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Navy Midshipmen | 48c | 3,879$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Navy Midshipmen | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 1,608$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.05 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Navy Midshipmen | 50c | 549$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.51 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Navy Midshipmen | 57c | 547.86$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.55 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston Terriers | 54c | 147.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Boston Terriers | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 99.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Navy Midshipmen | 48c | 97.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 62.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c33…d620backed Boston Terriers | 52c | 47.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Navy Midshipmen | 45c | 42.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Navy Midshipmen | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Boston Terriers | 48c | 39.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…8525backed Navy Midshipmen | 54c | 36.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Boston Terriers | 50c | 24.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boston Terriers | 46c | 21.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Navy Midshipmen | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-6.5)this page
- Boston Terriers vs. Navy MidshipmenBoston Terriers won
- Boston Terriers vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 137.5Over won
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-7.5)Boston Terriers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.