Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f2f47198da97e2dc47de9a5383a22483f6ad53acefae6718312d04b5a2a80d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Bobcatsof Miami (OH) RedHawks, Ohio Bobcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,023 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Ohio Bobcats | 54c | 18,498$9,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,542.21 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 16,072$7,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,985.34 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Ohio Bobcats | 50c | 7,168$3,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,583.76 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 6,735$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.02 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 4,208$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.82 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Ohio Bobcats | 52c | 3,285$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.33 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Ohio Bobcats | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 2,082$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.6 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Ohio Bobcats | 54c | 1,839$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.47 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…78cfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 1,005$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.42 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 857.43$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.36 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 606.89$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Ohio Bobcats | 52c | 423.19$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.13 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 409.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.94 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 45c | 365.33$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.77 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Ohio Bobcats | 56c | 287.52$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 237.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Ohio Bobcats | 52c | 191.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 169.3$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Ohio Bobcats | 56c | 151.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 63c | 99.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 96.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Ohio Bobcats | 52c | 76.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…bf73backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 61.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ohio Bobcats | 44c | 60.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ohio Bobcats | 55c | 54.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 44c | 52.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -9.9wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 51.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 43.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Ohio Bobcats | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 35.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 32.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c33…d620backed Ohio Bobcats | 55c | 31.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 44c | 30.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ohio Bobcats | 50c | 30.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…284abacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 24.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-4.5)this page
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Ohio BobcatsMiami (OH) RedHawks won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 159.5Over won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-5.5)Ohio Bobcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.