TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ohio Bobcatsof Miami (OH) RedHawks, Ohio Bobcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,850

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,850 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Ohio Bobcats56c9,725$5,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,301.4634343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Ohio Bobcats59c5,884$3,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.919652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks41c4,549$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.8112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Ohio Bobcats51c3,927$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.3461652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Miami (OH) RedHawks47c3,322$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.385,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami (OH) RedHawks50c2,723$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.424,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Miami (OH) RedHawks44c2,169$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.482,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Miami (OH) RedHawks49c1,006$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49384147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Ohio Bobcats54c972.76$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.864551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks38c909.44$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.591,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks46c836.38$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.922,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5542…01cebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks49c760.29$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.54875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Miami (OH) RedHawks39c675.48$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.442,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Miami (OH) RedHawks50c660.17$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.091637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks46c432.41$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5632246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Ohio Bobcats56c396.93$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.653265.6%21 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Miami (OH) RedHawks45c396.54$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4437246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Ohio Bobcats50c357.28$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.6448855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks49c343.9$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5179448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks49c303.44$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.691,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Ohio Bobcats55c302.24$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0115858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks41c300.52$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0884854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Ohio Bobcats49c245.3$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.963,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Ohio Bobcats55c216.57$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4612649.2%62 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Miami (OH) RedHawks48c212.31$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.116767.2%45 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks50c208.36$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0810150.5%51 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks49c202.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8227048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Miami (OH) RedHawks50c199.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9914546.9%68 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4dd…ad7bbacked Ohio Bobcats52c190.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Miami (OH) RedHawks44c189.63$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4462140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Miami (OH) RedHawks46c189.56$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8316255.6%90 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a26…dae7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks49c169.26$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Miami (OH) RedHawks49c166.58$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4433445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Ohio Bobcats56c163.91$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1291848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Miami (OH) RedHawks50c140.76$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3820051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks50c133.03$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.416040%24 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Ohio Bobcats57c106.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.613366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f34…94d0backed Miami (OH) RedHawks49c101.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5611654.3%63 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f3f…ae90backed Miami (OH) RedHawks49c101.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Miami (OH) RedHawks47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Miami (OH) RedHawks50c99.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Miami (OH) RedHawks50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Miami (OH) RedHawks44c99.06$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6160954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Miami (OH) RedHawks51c97.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5633855%186 W · 152 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Ohio Bobcats51c95.11$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.614553.1%77 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde60…1bcfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks45c77.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Miami (OH) RedHawks44c69.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.538342.2%35 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Ohio Bobcats52c65.78$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4657655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks46c58.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7634952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Ohio Bobcats49c51.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.435623.2%13 W · 43 L-9.9wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-46.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0212…fee5backed Miami (OH) RedHawks50c51.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.77955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks50c51.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.772365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Ohio Bobcats52c49.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8122544.9%101 W · 124 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d3…2d0fbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks50c49.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.783545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x707b…416abacked Miami (OH) RedHawks50c45.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Miami (OH) RedHawks49c40.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8311552.2%60 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c6c…67edbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks49c40.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d63…753bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks50c39.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba2b…0c59backed Miami (OH) RedHawks51c38.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-54.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Miami (OH) RedHawks43c36.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.782,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Ohio Bobcats49c32.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.71,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks49c31.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5461244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe825…39b7backed Ohio Bobcats49c30.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.552343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Ohio Bobcats51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.713457.5%77 W · 57 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7038…6647backed Miami (OH) RedHawks50c29.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Miami (OH) RedHawks43c29.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.66140%0 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e45…3250backed Miami (OH) RedHawks48c28.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks45c28.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.791,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Ohio Bobcats54c27.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6717446.6%81 W · 93 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks46c22.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.495570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Ohio Bobcats55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913147.3%62 W · 69 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Ohio Bobcats65c17.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.12683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.