NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9fdd8388c8e9b326a281a4956947525060fee3c80c736dbe1ff29dc8559451b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,275 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Over | 48c | 19,206$9,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,218.87 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under | 52c | 10,418$5,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,966.48 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 53c | 7,191$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,810.87 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…8839backed Under | 48c | 6,437$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,347.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c7…f8e6backed Under | 48c | 5,832$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 5,754$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 52c | 5,104$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.92 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 54c | 5,099$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.62 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad0…9d26backed Over | 52c | 4,747$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd18…c231backed Over | 52c | 4,610$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d65…e614backed Under | 49c | 3,692$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.24 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 3,119$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…d9bbbacked Over | 54c | 2,913$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 2,668$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.17 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…2cdfbacked Under | 49c | 2,199$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 54c | 2,037$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.04 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 54c | 1,895$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.6 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 1,731$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 1,299$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.16 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Under | 47c | 1,230$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.01 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 5c | 1,100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d5…b643backed Under | 50c | 1,096$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 46c | 1,074$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.09 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee6…e538backed Over | 50c | 1,016$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 43c | 1,012$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.19 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Under | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 973.61$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.63 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 53c | 971$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.63 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…5147backed Under | 50c | 896$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…d6c0backed Over | 50c | 880$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 823.73$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.2 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 808.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.1 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 43c | 806.77$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.91 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 780.52$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.85 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…dbf0backed Over | 50c | 772$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd8…5484backed Over | 50c | 748$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…e782backed Under | 50c | 742.28$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 47c | 680.85$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c7…37d9backed Under | 50c | 673$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…55a3backed Over | 50c | 656$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x766d…ec51backed Under | 50c | 611$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 608.15$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 472$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.87 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 48c | 417.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.45 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 45c | 363.56$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…865bbacked Over | 53c | 346.7$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 54c | 260$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 47c | 240$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 230.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.18 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Over | 50c | 199.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 53c | 152.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 49c | 146.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 47c | 143.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 47c | 140.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…963ebacked Under | 50c | 138.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 54c | 126.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a9…197bbacked Under | 50c | 121$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 49c | 118.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 113.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 55c | 112.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aea…69febacked Over | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 46c | 105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 100.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 67c | 100.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 42c | 96.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 50c | 88.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 82.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 47c | 75.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 71.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b21…05ecbacked Over | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 48c | 63.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Under | 68c | 58.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Over | 49c | 53.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 46c | 52.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 52c | 51.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 49c | 44.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed Over | 47c | 42.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…e914backed Over | 49c | 41.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc32…f1debacked Under | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 39.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 61c | 35.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Under | 52c | 35.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. WizardsJazz won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Wizards (-1.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Wizards (-2.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Wizards (-3.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Wizards (-4.5)Jazz won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.