TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,275 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed Over48c19,206$9,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,218.8730845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under52c10,418$5,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,966.4845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over53c7,191$3,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,810.871,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ff0…8839backed Under48c6,437$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,347.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c7…f8e6backed Under48c5,832$2,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.64875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c5,754$2,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.759,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under52c5,104$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Over54c5,099$2,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,748.6221250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad0…9d26backed Over52c4,747$2,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,468.31425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd18…c231backed Over52c4,610$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d65…e614backed Under49c3,692$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.246100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c3,119$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.384,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa640…d9bbbacked Over54c2,913$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over46c2,668$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.1754539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb75…2cdfbacked Under49c2,199$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.253548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under54c2,037$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.041,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00013543.7%59 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over54c1,895$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8525951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c1,731$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.886,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c1,299$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.162,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Under47c1,230$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.018148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over5c1,100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50621247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d5…b643backed Under50c1,096$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under46c1,074$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.0917144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over47c1,050$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee6…e538backed Over50c1,016$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over43c1,012$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.1911942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Under53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c973.61$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.633,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over53c971$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.6358347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x695f…5147backed Under50c896$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe224…d6c0backed Over50c880$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under57c823.73$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.22,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under49c808.1$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.11,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over43c806.77$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.914,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c780.52$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.854,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fcc…dbf0backed Over50c772$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fd8…5484backed Over50c748$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c5c…e782backed Under50c742.28$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over47c680.85$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55c7…37d9backed Under50c673$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45db…55a3backed Over50c656$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x766d…ec51backed Under50c611$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c608.15$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.228,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c472$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.873,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over48c417.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4554747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over45c363.56$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38d5…865bbacked Over53c346.7$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.751741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under54c260$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.645646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under47c240$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.241050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under52c230.3$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.181,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Over50c199.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6220847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under53c152.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2939552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over49c146.82$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9487750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Over47c143.49$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4416338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over47c140.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1417850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f3c…963ebacked Under50c138.88$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over52c134.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.630845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under54c130$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.856547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Under54c126.3$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5712747.2%60 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52a9…197bbacked Under50c121$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over49c118.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2162541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under53c113.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.22,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under55c112.12$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4576552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aea…69febacked Over50c112$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over46c105$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.43,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c100.56$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.72,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under67c100.43$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1433159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4639435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over42c96.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.933,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c88.51$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.431,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c82.96$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.312,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under50c78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3946447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over47c75.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4855846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c71.66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.71,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under54c65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.934047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under54c65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.957250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b21…05ecbacked Over46c65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.93033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under48c63.05$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4764844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Under68c58.32$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.63243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b3a…1440backed Over49c53.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.336541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under46c52.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5693145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under52c51.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5237848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under49c44.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6717960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d51…7317backed Over47c42.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.982853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5501…e914backed Over49c41.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4511947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc32…f1debacked Under50c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c39.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.862,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under61c35.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Under52c35.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0811652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.