TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Keyonte George: Points O/U 25.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,690

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,690 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4488…579cbacked Yes1c5,800$58 inLost-$5877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf642…7353backed Yes1c3,004$30 inLost-$301723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-58.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No58c299.98$174 inWon+$125.991,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Yes37c243.24$90 inLost-$9013138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7db8…bbcebacked Yes42c236.08$100 inLost-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No62c216.47$135 inWon+$81.465762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed No63c199.99$126 inWon+$7445657%260 W · 196 L+44.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9704…9d43backed Yes42c83.33$35 inLost-$351118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…a219backed Yes42c71.58$30 inLost-$309944.4%44 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f45…2347backed No42c51.09$22 inWon+$29.5928100%28 W · 0 L+9.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xa7b0…6a57backed Yes25c40$10 inLost-$101560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe05d…b812backed Yes38c26.26$10 inLost-$103056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.