MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x487dced26ca95c32a2ea9a5eea4eb0e9b3866a273c6ebd9550a2ff6eb1507482
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Phillies | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,833.33 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Dodgers | 49c | 13,220$6,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,437.26 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Phillies | 47c | 12,500$5,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,638.54 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers | 52c | 9,466$4,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,928.55 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 49c | 9,171$4,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,514.2 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Dodgers | 47c | 8,057$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.19 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 47c | 7,500$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,968.42 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 40c | 6,834$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Dodgers | 62c | 6,068$3,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,767.85 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Dodgers | 53c | 5,911$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.77 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 48c | 4,933$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.07 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Dodgers | 36c | 4,519$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.55 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Phillies | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Dodgers | 52c | 4,105$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.44 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Dodgers | 52c | 3,340$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Phillies | 73c | 3,325$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.03 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Dodgers | 53c | 2,727$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.41 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 70c | 2,554$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.21 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Phillies | 63c | 2,405$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.36 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Phillies | 48c | 2,063$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.46 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Dodgers | 52c | 1,969$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.71 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…be5abacked Phillies | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dodgers | 60c | 1,774$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.73 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Dodgers | 52c | 1,609$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.89 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Dodgers | 27c | 1,441$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.53 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 47c | 1,411$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.77 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Dodgers | 38c | 1,254$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.62 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Dodgers | 42c | 1,004$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.08 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Dodgers | 45c | 1,000$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.54 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dodgers | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Phillies | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Dodgers | 54c | 999.96$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Phillies | 48c | 982.99$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.16 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Dodgers | 53c | 946.22$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.12 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Phillies | 56c | 936.46$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.48 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…59e4backed Phillies | 47c | 852.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies | 48c | 786$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.72 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Dodgers | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Dodgers | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Dodgers | 36c | 752.7$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.57 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Phillies | 62c | 721.09$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.01 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Phillies | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Phillies | 54c | 609.44$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.34 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Phillies | 49c | 599.18$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.81 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…bceabacked Phillies | 60c | 597.79$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dodgers | 53c | 594$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.82 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 58c | 590.86$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.86 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Phillies | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers | 47c | 522.09$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.62 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 12c | 516.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.67 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Phillies | 21c | 506.3$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.87 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Phillies | 47c | 500.3$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.42 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Dodgers | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Dodgers | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Dodgers | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…dfa2backed Dodgers | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Dodgers | 52c | 449.97$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.98 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Dodgers | 55c | 445.45$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Phillies | 53c | 444.77$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.8 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Phillies | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Phillies | 58c | 416.67$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Dodgers | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Phillies | 48c | 414.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.05 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Dodgers | 42c | 411.03$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.23 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Dodgers | 46c | 400$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebc…bb0fbacked Dodgers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95d…9216backed Dodgers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…2b99backed Dodgers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Phillies | 42c | 375$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Dodgers | 43c | 358.58$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc2…8b96backed Phillies | 49c | 357.14$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Dodgers | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Dodgers | 52c | 347$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.44 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers | 53c | 334$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.41 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…c695backed Phillies | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…5493backed Phillies | 35c | 320.25$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Dodgers | 74c | 315.42$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.8 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Dodgers | 41c | 305.57$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Phillies | 66c | 302.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Phillies | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Dodgers | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…3885backed Phillies | 48c | 291$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.32 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Dodgers | 50c | 290.96$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Phillies | 53c | 282.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.61 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Phillies | 48c | 276.22$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.24 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Dodgers | 36c | 270.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Phillies | 48c | 269$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 60c | 268$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dodgers | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b9…5455backed Dodgers | 48c | 253.71$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Dodgers | 53c | 245$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Dodgers | 53c | 234.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.07 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Dodgers | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Dodgers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Dodgers | 44c | 219$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Phillies | 18c | 217.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.83 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Phillies | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Phillies | 48c | 212.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.73 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phillies vs. Dodgersthis page
- Phillies vs. Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.