WNBA · resolved market
Mercury vs Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf308b48f37525f35b4c988e9b74e62c80b921cee53c577c3a3bed7429102a680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acesof Mercury, Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Mercury | 30c | 8,618$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.94 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Aces | 74c | 7,489$5,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mercury | 19c | 6,887$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.19 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Mercury | 15c | 6,695$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.71 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Aces | 58c | 6,184$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mercury | 46c | 6,048$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.86 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc9…2b7ebacked Aces | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Mercury | 2c | 5,048$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Aces | 55c | 4,869$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Mercury | 47c | 3,775$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.98 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff59…afeabacked Aces | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…263bbacked Mercury | 47c | 3,300$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…66a1backed Mercury | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…fa8fbacked Aces | 53c | 2,900$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…4c6bbacked Aces | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Mercury | 47c | 2,436$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.98 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ef…a23dbacked Mercury | 46c | 2,391$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Mercury | 37c | 2,300$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Aces | 54c | 2,155$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.3 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…58b6backed Mercury | 46c | 2,065$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mercury | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Aces | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…c3b4backed Aces | 54c | 1,678$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mercury | 45c | 1,222$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.97 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mercury | 15c | 1,132$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.21 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Mercury | 48c | 1,056$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.39 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mercury | 46c | 1,015$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.99 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4f…a90bbacked Mercury | 24c | 947.79$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mercury | 20c | 872.64$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.54 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mercury | 47c | 823$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.81 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aces | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mercury | 39c | 763$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.69 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Aces | 55c | 727.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.94 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Aces | 54c | 702.49$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Mercury | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Aces | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Aces | 53c | 600$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.71 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mercury | 25c | 519.92$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.47 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mercury | 49c | 517.37$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.96 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Mercury | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa73e…9e1bbacked Aces | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Aces | 79c | 485.67$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Mercury | 25c | 440.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Aces | 50c | 435.26$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.63 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Mercury | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Mercury | 13c | 403.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Mercury | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Mercury | 11c | 395.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Aces | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mercury | 45c | 363.64$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.64 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Aces | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Aces | 54c | 354.07$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.87 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Mercury | 47c | 350.36$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Aces | 66c | 339.08$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe435…0bb1backed Aces | 54c | 310.64$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Aces | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Mercury | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mercury | 45c | 299.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mercury | 45c | 296.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.45 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Mercury | 21c | 291.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Aces | 78c | 204.14$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mercury | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mercury | 50c | 201.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mercury | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Aces | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Mercury | 25c | 196$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Aces | 52c | 191.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Aces | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Aces | 53c | 159.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Mercury | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…3032backed Mercury | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7405…4aa4backed Mercury | 16c | 128.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Aces | 70c | 120.7$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Mercury | 16c | 114.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Mercury | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mercury | 47c | 107.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Aces | 71c | 104.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Mercury | 45c | 102.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Mercury | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Mercury | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Aces | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mercury | 46c | 99.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd690…ad2abacked Mercury | 16c | 94.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…d8d1backed Aces | 74c | 93.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…a858backed Mercury | 26c | 88.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Mercury | 47c | 74.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Aces | 68c | 68.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Mercury | 26c | 68.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Mercury | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Aces | 54c | 48.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Aces | 74c | 43.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Mercury | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Mercury | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Aces | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…7dedbacked Mercury | 47c | 31.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Mercury | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…0f46backed Mercury | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Mercury | 48c | 28.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mercury | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Aces | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.