NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe215494746fe02eafd5959d13356885497d5935dc2d8c0cd154572ba3a1a4752
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Wild, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Flyers | 53c | 51,108$26,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,175.05 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145c…43bcbacked Flyers | 51c | 39,394$20,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,303.12 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Wild | 49c | 37,273$18,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,264 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Flyers | 53c | 18,702$9,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,790.16 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wild | 48c | 15,270$7,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,282.52 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Wild | 48c | 13,295$6,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,376.33 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wild | 49c | 12,361$6,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,044.73 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Wild | 47c | 11,670$5,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,484.93 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wild | 47c | 9,500$4,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,465 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Wild | 48c | 8,995$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,317.6 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flyers | 52c | 7,564$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630.72 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Wild | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Flyers | 51c | 5,518$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.28 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Flyers | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Flyers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wild | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Wild | 47c | 4,990$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.48 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wild | 47c | 3,510$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.7 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wild | 48c | 3,205$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.46 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b34…a79abacked Flyers | 52c | 1,400$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.65 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Flyers | 48c | 1,046$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.94 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Wild | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers | 43c | 967.37$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.24 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wild | 48c | 946$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.08 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flyers | 51c | 932.22$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.79 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Wild | 68c | 922.94$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.66 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Wild | 48c | 917.46$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.9 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 48c | 788.2$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.14 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wild | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Wild | 48c | 748.91$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.37 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Flyers | 41c | 706$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.41 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wild | 49c | 678$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.22 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Flyers | 52c | 674.42$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.72 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Flyers | 50c | 603$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…47f2backed Wild | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Wild | 48c | 532$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.48 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Wild | 43c | 498$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.14 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Flyers | 48c | 482.82$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.4 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3a…192bbacked Wild | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wild | 47c | 410.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.73 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Flyers | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Wild | 48c | 398.59$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.36 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Flyers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Wild | 48c | 384$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.32 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…b81abacked Wild | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Wild | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers | 50c | 269.14$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.82 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Wild | 49c | 252$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Wild | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Wild | 48c | 214.58$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…c104backed Wild | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wild | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…0eafbacked Wild | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Flyers | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Wild | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Flyers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1b…7d60backed Flyers | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked Wild | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…9989backed Flyers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…c28dbacked Wild | 48c | 183.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wild | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Wild | 48c | 174.68$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Flyers | 51c | 158.59$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Flyers | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Flyers | 52c | 136.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers | 51c | 129.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Flyers | 32c | 115.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.63 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Flyers | 56c | 107.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…535dbacked Wild | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Flyers | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Wild | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flyers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Wild | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 212 | 45.8%97 W · 115 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Flyers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Wild | 52c | 99.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Wild | 48c | 96.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Flyers | 53c | 95.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Flyers | 28c | 92.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Wild | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flyers | 32c | 69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4611…9c68backed Wild | 49c | 68.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…b742backed Flyers | 52c | 68.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…1763backed Flyers | 52c | 65.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Flyers | 31c | 63.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Flyers | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb458…195ebacked Wild | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b4…4adabacked Flyers | 52c | 51.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Wild | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Flyers | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…14a6backed Wild | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Wild | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2530…95ecbacked Flyers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Wild | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…7c1dbacked Wild | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 46c | 48.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…31f7backed Flyers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…c2d9backed Wild | 72c | 47.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Flyersthis page
- Wild vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.