TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Red Sox vs. Yankees

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yankeesof Red Sox, Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,057,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,165,232

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,057,829 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Red Sox37c850,000$314,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314,499.9238043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yankees64c149,984$95,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,429.636653%35 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees63c117,773$73,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,934.311,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Yankees63c116,239$73,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,008.3313246.2%61 W · 71 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Yankees63c115,396$72,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,696.544456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees63c102,564$64,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,948.9563152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yankees63c93,726$59,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,678.4960451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox36c60,384$21,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,462.0648254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Yankees77c60,265$46,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,024.869146.2%42 W · 49 L-11.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Red Sox35c46,580$16,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,303.169462.8%59 W · 35 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Yankees64c46,280$29,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,660.927651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees64c36,478$23,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,089.191,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Red Sox26c32,733$8,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,434.4278445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb1e…88d5backed Yankees65c31,313$20,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,863.487058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Red Sox35c31,000$10,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,85045248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yankees63c30,268$19,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,265.6811544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Yankees71c29,797$21,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,679.81850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Yankees74c29,005$21,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,571.1711759%69 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Red Sox38c28,911$11,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,059.6515353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Red Sox37c27,544$10,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,191.3855053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Yankees80c26,036$20,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,257.951172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Yankees63c25,000$15,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,2507363%46 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yankees63c24,911$15,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,217.167753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yankees62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,599.9353150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox35c18,792$6,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,580.762,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yankees66c17,761$11,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,025.1638751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yankees61c17,633$10,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,946.796660.6%40 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Yankees63c16,332$10,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,063.7723455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaefe…1e4abacked Yankees63c15,873$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,873.022462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yankees50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50035854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Yankees61c13,500$8,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,264.963040%12 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Red Sox66c12,203$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00011743.6%51 W · 66 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Red Sox18c10,555$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.022751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Red Sox5c10,294$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.2314153.9%76 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Yankees62c10,240$6,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,891.1913065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox37c10,000$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,65071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yankees64c9,746$6,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,497.672941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yankees63c9,546$6,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,532.1111551.3%59 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Red Sox36c9,141$3,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,313.5925551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yankees61c8,583$5,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,307.941,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Red Sox12c8,392$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.251376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox35c7,830$2,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,740.441,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Red Sox15c7,314$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.9746239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees63c7,049$4,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640.861,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d2…59f7backed Yankees63c6,917$4,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aec…0f2dbacked Red Sox37c6,363$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,354.311844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4992…6f5cbacked Yankees79c6,111$4,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.981361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox32c5,715$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.539,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Yankees61c5,393$3,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1304045%18 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e2c…ba05backed Yankees63c5,003$3,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.112360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Yankees63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8506350.8%32 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Red Sox35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.9956451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Red Sox37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Yankees63c4,762$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.94461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Red Sox38c4,545$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.27349.3%36 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yankees63c4,301$2,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.4776456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x752f…9332backed Red Sox38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5201450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yankees47c3,907$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.2712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Sox37c3,847$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.5622142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Red Sox36c3,632$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.429440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Red Sox37c3,481$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.719540%78 W · 117 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6a…1a00backed Yankees61c3,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.691361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Red Sox38c3,268$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.6568656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Red Sox21c3,254$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.241,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Yankees62c3,232$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.9954941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yankees65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.926556.9%37 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees63c3,045$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.812,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Red Sox36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8a4…9e63backed Yankees42c2,989$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7402958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Yankees68c2,822$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.989255.4%51 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8854…0d9cbacked Yankees65c2,750$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Yankees64c2,711$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.947758.4%45 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Yankees61c2,684$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.913145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1357…7553backed Red Sox37c2,660$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Red Sox39c2,558$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfba8…78e6backed Yankees64c2,517$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yankees63c2,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9254143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…74a8backed Yankees62c2,500$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9502352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Red Sox34c2,431$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Yankees58c2,422$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.163748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees64c2,350$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84692754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0c…18b7backed Red Sox37c2,293$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Yankees63c2,270$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.8423060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfd8…65f3backed Yankees62c2,229$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x625a…681ebacked Red Sox37c2,162$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox37c2,162$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.941,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Yankees63c2,160$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.21,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…406abacked Yankees67c2,088$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.974100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Yankees57c2,077$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.0734245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9502…994abacked Yankees62c2,072$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.45580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+53.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcce0…6633backed Yankees62c2,069$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.04955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Yankees64c2,036$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.1214951.7%77 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Red Sox37c2,022$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.9616945%76 W · 93 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Yankees62c2,009$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.4738956.8%221 W · 168 L-0.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Yankees62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76010647.2%50 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3af0…77ebbacked Red Sox37c1,971$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd19f…202bbacked Red Sox39c1,939$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b39…0d7ebacked Yankees62c1,939$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yankees56c1,914$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.2151334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7869…9480backed Yankees64c1,887$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.213253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.