NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf839675c81133e5f2bafa2db0aee6e39e3da3730615f0fe96a79d825381a3413
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Wild, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $392,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $407,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 897 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Wild | 47c | 72,746$34,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,048.83 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Capitals | 54c | 38,656$20,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,781.83 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Capitals | 53c | 30,551$16,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,358.99 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 77c | 29,843$23,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,793.03 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Wild | 22c | 25,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500.08 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Wild | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,499.85 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Wild | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Capitals | 54c | 20,000$10,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,225 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Wild | 46c | 16,900$7,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,774 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Capitals | 53c | 12,054$6,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,669.18 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Wild | 24c | 10,137$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Wild | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Wild | 46c | 8,995$4,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137.65 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Capitals | 53c | 6,988$3,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.78 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Wild | 47c | 6,411$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.16 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Capitals | 53c | 5,722$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.34 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Capitals | 53c | 4,660$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.37 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96f6…ce43backed Capitals | 73c | 4,439$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wild | 11c | 4,383$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.06 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Capitals | 80c | 4,200$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.33 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Capitals | 53c | 4,088$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.65 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 53c | 4,049$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.14 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Capitals | 54c | 3,778$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.78 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Wild | 48c | 3,750$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 53c | 3,626$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.42 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wild | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…dc00backed Wild | 47c | 3,334$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.96 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked Capitals | 53c | 3,334$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Capitals | 53c | 3,296$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.41 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…2820backed Wild | 47c | 2,990$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19a…74bdbacked Capitals | 53c | 2,990$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Capitals | 53c | 2,975$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.21 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ef…7db1backed Wild | 47c | 2,632$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.81 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cae…9c47backed Wild | 50c | 2,560$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e75…2a84backed Capitals | 50c | 2,560$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7340…4656backed Capitals | 54c | 2,400$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…e0fbbacked Capitals | 53c | 2,380$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Capitals | 53c | 2,274$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.97 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wild | 41c | 2,171$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.58 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 53c | 2,162$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.26 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Capitals | 53c | 2,125$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b68…6f4ebacked Capitals | 54c | 2,100$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Capitals | 53c | 2,075$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.47 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…c5fabacked Capitals | 53c | 2,066$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…7b24backed Wild | 47c | 2,066$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Capitals | 53c | 2,020$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.4 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild | 25c | 2,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…3779backed Wild | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Wild | 46c | 1,730$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.79 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Wild | 23c | 1,600$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f6…fd5abacked Wild | 47c | 1,583$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cb…82ecbacked Capitals | 54c | 1,583$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…4c3bbacked Capitals | 54c | 1,566$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +103%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…3428backed Wild | 47c | 1,566$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…2523backed Capitals | 54c | 1,552$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…13d3backed Wild | 47c | 1,552$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Capitals | 53c | 1,532$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.23 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…2516backed Wild | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Capitals | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5806…5863backed Wild | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Capitals | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Capitals | 53c | 999.97$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Capitals | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d41…229bbacked Capitals | 54c | 840.74$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5490…f0bfbacked Capitals | 53c | 828.11$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Capitals | 52c | 817.31$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.31 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…b13ebacked Wild | 47c | 796.83$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4376…be35backed Capitals | 54c | 789.26$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…36cbbacked Capitals | 54c | 772$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Wild | 46c | 765$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.9 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wild | 46c | 750$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…5221backed Capitals | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…f49bbacked Capitals | 54c | 744.78$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad9c…7aa1backed Wild | 47c | 744.72$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Capitals | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd70…4463backed Capitals | 54c | 709.26$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Capitals | 53c | 610.18$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.79 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Wild | 47c | 551.06$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…9147backed Capitals | 54c | 519.74$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.08 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ff…d6f9backed Wild | 47c | 519.7$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.26 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 53c | 508$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.76 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Capitals | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wild | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Capitals | 53c | 499.67$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.84 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Capitals | 52c | 462.15$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.83 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wild | 4c | 448.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Wild | 45c | 429.07$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.08 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Wild | 40c | 400$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…a056backed Wild | 47c | 398.3$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…ae22backed Wild | 47c | 388$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Capitals | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…5ab3backed Capitals | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Wild | 13c | 354.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…9989backed Wild | 48c | 354.17$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals | 72c | 339.31$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…cd8cbacked Wild | 47c | 321$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673c…7013backed Wild | 48c | 312.85$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e6…2809backed Wild | 48c | 310.42$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Capitalsthis page
- Wild vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.