TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Flyers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Jets, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$927,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$939,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $927,011 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Flyers45c602,786$270,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270,825.629340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Flyers44c146,798$64,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,591.1214057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Jets55c125,000$68,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,2504949%24 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Jets55c116,640$64,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,487.979242.4%39 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Jets56c75,464$42,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,842.8730944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Jets55c73,696$40,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,826.216743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Jets55c66,660$36,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,9971353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Jets55c59,999$32,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,999.554944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Flyers44c43,250$18,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,840.0436242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Jets55c40,000$22,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,00021755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Jets56c37,111$20,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,479.9131546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Jets55c31,410$17,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,134.540550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5df…2f2dbacked Jets57c30,698$17,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,200.22653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Jets55c30,000$16,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,5007850%39 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Jets55c24,000$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,8005950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Jets56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,80017448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jets56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,799.9842552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Jets56c18,386$10,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,129.942369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Flyers44c17,111$7,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,52910745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Jets56c13,000$7,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7203053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Jets55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5006737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Jets56c8,753$4,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.8930848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jets55c7,777$4,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.611,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e6f…ffaabacked Jets56c7,142$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,142.4811947.9%57 W · 62 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x745b…60a4backed Jets57c7,018$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,017.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+73.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab7b…0bc1backed Flyers44c7,000$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,08010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets55c6,700$3,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0151,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Jets55c5,509$3,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.1237847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Flyers9c4,842$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.7929412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Flyers24c4,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94012742.5%54 W · 73 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbcf…d6a9backed Flyers43c3,716$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.88922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Jets55c3,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57519451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb703…6f88backed Jets56c3,010$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.42240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Jets57c2,487$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.8489249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Flyers43c2,399$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.6169550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Jets74c2,392$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.7458467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Jets69c2,305$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.558746%40 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Jets56c2,040$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.657453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Flyers43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86014253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jets55c1,972$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.32,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jets55c1,905$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.161,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Jets63c1,647$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.5658841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Flyers44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Jets55c1,350$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.520751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers17c1,331$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.5289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8809…b9b0backed Jets57c1,316$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Flyers43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51635349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Flyers43c1,036$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.481,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Jets55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4506162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Jets56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jets55c955$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.7572847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0111…61b1backed Flyers45c944.44$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4251127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-55.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Jets62c925$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.197149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Flyers20c905$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.3599638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9525…e50abacked Jets56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3306…f442backed Flyers45c892$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Flyers45c888.89$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f69…23cbbacked Flyers10c800$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7611127%30 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers43c750$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.51,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9c…ade4backed Jets57c750$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Flyers44c711.25$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.9587447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb985…827fbacked Jets57c710$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Flyers43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30151044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd547…8a9fbacked Jets73c682.57$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.571471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27066951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Jets56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.716139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Flyers10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jets68c481$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.061,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed Jets56c464.29$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.298348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb80…09eebacked Jets57c385.96$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc17b…dcffbacked Jets56c380$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ce…3811backed Flyers44c380$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1716…ab6ebacked Jets56c380$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7d9…b34fbacked Flyers44c379.98$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x236c…d946backed Flyers45c368.89$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Jets56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1445149.4%223 W · 228 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flyers44c330.91$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.668449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Flyers38c330.09$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.438536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2977…1421backed Jets57c315.79$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519b…8ff1backed Flyers44c313.64$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f2a…d9a0backed Flyers44c312$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d6…c9aabacked Flyers44c304.55$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27a9…1577backed Flyers44c304.55$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Jets56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13231257.4%179 W · 133 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Jets55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13518750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…f2b7backed Flyers44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Jets55c299.96$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9874951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e95…76debacked Jets57c298.25$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66be…f76abacked Flyers44c290.91$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x452c…29f9backed Flyers44c284$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea52…1d91backed Flyers44c279$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jets62c277.5$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1595049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…abcdbacked Flyers44c277.27$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc5…8db1backed Flyers44c273$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde50…cf46backed Jets56c262.5$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70e3…231ebacked Flyers44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Flyers43c230.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020147.3%95 W · 106 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Flyers44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.220446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…d85fbacked Flyers45c226.67$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.