NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e46d19d941cafbb7f3e3afb45ea3fd7a706fd2556765445d38bbcea20fc881f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 9,246$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590.34 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 3,050$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 51c | 2,451$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.98 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Over | 51c | 1,288$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.23 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 1,191$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.97 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 51c | 735$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.15 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f5…b1e3backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…ed31backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 335.52$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.73 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e5…2f5bbacked Under | 48c | 119.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ead…3381backed Over | 54c | 118.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…d87fbacked Over | 54c | 118.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a72…9be0backed Under | 48c | 116.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…2e7fbacked Over | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5this page
- Jets vs. FlyersJets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.