MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01c70b22d5cff85953b19e70b594f6587679db4eb6c417566dffdc482b5f9512
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Reds, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 53c | 98,050$51,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,966.5 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Athletics | 47c | 80,488$37,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,658.48 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Reds | 47c | 40,794$19,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,182.17 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Reds | 23c | 32,072$7,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,524.26 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Athletics | 75c | 28,545$21,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,152.92 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Athletics | 60c | 20,489$12,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,151.15 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Reds | 53c | 13,416$7,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,097.01 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Athletics | 47c | 11,150$5,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,909.5 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Athletics | 47c | 8,888$4,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,710.64 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 19c | 7,616$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.91 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 73c | 5,626$4,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.8 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Athletics | 58c | 5,547$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.34 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Reds | 42c | 5,026$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.94 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 47c | 4,144$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.25 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Reds | 53c | 3,746$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.6 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 47c | 3,400$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Reds | 45c | 3,204$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.8 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Reds | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Reds | 3c | 1,567$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Reds | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Reds | 53c | 1,446$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.13 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Athletics | 55c | 1,089$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.97 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Athletics | 47c | 1,076$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.25 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Reds | 52c | 1,041$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.32 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 48c | 1,033$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.16 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 47c | 1,000$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.81 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Athletics | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Reds | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 49c | 946.91$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.91 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Reds | 51c | 870$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.7 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Athletics | 49c | 817$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.67 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 49c | 816$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.16 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Athletics | 77c | 713.21$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.64 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Athletics | 47c | 700.28$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.15 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 49c | 688$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.88 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Athletics | 53c | 672.65$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.36 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Athletics | 47c | 649.24$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.1 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Reds | 29c | 615.76$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.57 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Athletics | 75c | 550$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Athletics | 47c | 528.66$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.19 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Reds | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 26c | 519.84$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Athletics | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 47c | 499.97$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Reds | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Reds | 51c | 458.91$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.87 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 17c | 422.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Reds | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Athletics | 80c | 304.36$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Athletics | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Reds | 29c | 300$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Athletics | 61c | 284.02$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…9133backed Reds | 53c | 228.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…9bb4backed Reds | 53c | 209.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Athletics | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Reds | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…1730backed Athletics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Reds | 50c | 204$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb544…7fdcbacked Reds | 53c | 203.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Athletics | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Reds | 53c | 190$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Reds | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…92d6backed Reds | 53c | 179.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics | 76c | 171.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 58c | 167.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Reds | 30c | 166.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Athletics | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcd…17aabacked Reds | 53c | 160.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Athletics | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics | 48c | 156.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Athletics | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Athletics | 56c | 151.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325d…d576backed Athletics | 47c | 138.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12c…a8abbacked Athletics | 47c | 131.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Reds | 42c | 131.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…fcc2backed Athletics | 47c | 127.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…b84fbacked Athletics | 47c | 125.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…c1a6backed Athletics | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Athletics | 47c | 123.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Athletics | 49c | 122$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…f97fbacked Athletics | 47c | 117.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229f…3b70backed Reds | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Reds | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb199…dcdfbacked Athletics | 47c | 112.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f0…b2bebacked Reds | 53c | 111.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Athletics | 59c | 105.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Reds | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Reds | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Reds | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Reds | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Athletics | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Athletics | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…3984backed Reds | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Reds | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Reds | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Reds | 51c | 98.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Reds vs. Athleticsthis page
- NRFI: Reds vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.