WNBA · resolved market
Valkyries vs. Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96b997713f3016bc57c351cc299acd7fdff7e44983be6fcefb2c674b6507fb79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valkyriesof Valkyries, Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Valkyries | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Wings | 33c | 4,825$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.43 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wings | 48c | 1,984$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.15 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Valkyries | 53c | 1,367$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.16 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Valkyries | 56c | 1,365$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.88 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Valkyries | 52c | 884.17$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.4 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Wings | 48c | 647.56$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.83 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Wings | 27c | 622.32$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.12 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Wings | 44c | 592.12$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.83 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Wings | 51c | 539.84$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.31 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Valkyries | 49c | 539.23$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Valkyries | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Valkyries | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Valkyries | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Wings | 47c | 456.81$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.28 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Wings | 45c | 387.16$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.95 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Valkyries | 51c | 326.21$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Wings | 37c | 262.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6849…fbdfbacked Valkyries | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 47c | 213.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Valkyries | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Valkyries | 50c | 199.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…85f4backed Valkyries | 55c | 183.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +59%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Valkyries | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…de55backed Valkyries | 55c | 165$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…03ffbacked Wings | 45c | 165$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wings | 43c | 160.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…bca0backed Valkyries | 55c | 145$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…9ae6backed Wings | 45c | 145$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Wings | 37c | 128.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Valkyries | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Valkyries | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +71%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Valkyries | 53c | 98.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Wings | 22c | 97.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Valkyries | 53c | 94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Valkyries | 55c | 90.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Valkyries | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Valkyries | 53c | 69.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…78aebacked Valkyries | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Wings | 24c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a1cbbacked Valkyries | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3778…8604backed Valkyries | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Wings | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wings | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Valkyries | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…98f1backed Valkyries | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e47…65f0backed Valkyries | 56c | 35.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Valkyries | 56c | 32.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Valkyries | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…199dbacked Valkyries | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wings | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…db4ebacked Valkyries | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Wings | 44c | 25.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Valkyries | 55c | 22.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…c033backed Valkyries | 60c | 17.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Valkyries | 59c | 17.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.