TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Lynx vs Liberty

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Libertyof Lynx, Liberty
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,592

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,518 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x90ba…63f3backed Lynx46c3,050$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40323931.8%76 W · 163 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Liberty54c2,332$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.82075%15 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+36.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Liberty64c2,324$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.463652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Liberty58c2,268$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.767236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee5…208cbacked Liberty53c2,243$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea3b…d4c6backed Lynx46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca22…96ecbacked Lynx47c2,085$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Liberty78c2,075$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.991,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d0…1784backed Lynx47c2,064$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52da…c1f6backed Liberty54c2,043$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x745c…40d9backed Liberty53c1,906$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd652…fa8fbacked Liberty53c1,900$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8932100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Lynx31c1,878$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.247440.5%30 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e2…89babacked Liberty54c1,870$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80b1…f64abacked Lynx33c1,800$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005221.2%11 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c3c…946cbacked Lynx47c1,800$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lynx42c1,758$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.5614450.7%73 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4364…dc7abacked Lynx46c1,739$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Liberty51c1,704$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.757855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff59…afeabacked Lynx47c1,700$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa25b…0151backed Lynx38c1,678$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f3…20a1backed Lynx46c1,607$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdec…a6bcbacked Liberty53c1,600$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Liberty54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6908551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Lynx46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5215…bf8bbacked Lynx48c1,346$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec0…08ecbacked Liberty52c1,333$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x876b…9e57backed Liberty52c1,267$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b9f…ee40backed Lynx48c1,254$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Liberty55c1,188$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.477162%44 W · 27 L+9.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Liberty54c1,146$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.1712463.7%79 W · 45 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Lynx44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4402623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f6…1e55backed Lynx46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Liberty53c948.9$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.321250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e8…3305backed Liberty55c815$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f64…9aa0backed Lynx45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff0…4074backed Lynx45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x475e…f5fcbacked Liberty55c785$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Lynx28c711.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.99214.1%13 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Lynx36c708.8$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.3813044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Lynx44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30810337.9%39 W · 64 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Liberty72c617.95$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4831847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Lynx50c557.94$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.977753.2%41 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Lynx38c532.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+42.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Liberty64c524.19$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.783943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Liberty57c504.45$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.681947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Lynx42c467.41$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.311618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Lynx45c448.78$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Liberty55c436.49$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Lynx30c410.09$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Liberty55c388.45$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.83030%9 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Liberty57c350.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.861435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Lynx16c320$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.22425%6 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Lynx45c303.66$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.658633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Lynx21c296.65$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8423234.5%80 W · 152 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Liberty56c290$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.638650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Lynx35c237.8$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3920642.7%88 W · 118 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Lynx15c226$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.98920.2%18 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lynx45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023431.6%74 W · 160 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Lynx45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027232.7%89 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked Lynx45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Lynx46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017541.1%72 W · 103 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd4…e888backed Liberty69c201.5$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.57977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Lynx39c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774030%12 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Lynx44c199.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9921337.6%80 W · 133 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25ed…9481backed Liberty47c176.64$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Lynx35c173.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.753633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Liberty50c170.19$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Liberty58c169.24$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.273961.5%24 W · 15 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+47.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0127…7addbacked Lynx50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfddd…b13cbacked Liberty50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd5c…1d65backed Lynx19c158.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.651346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Lynx21c156.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.97728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f6…2e19backed Liberty47c156$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b6…e624backed Lynx53c156$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16e9…9ae6backed Lynx53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x368a…9c24backed Liberty47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Lynx45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Lynx39c126.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.644042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Lynx32c124.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Lynx45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x598c…cd47backed Lynx46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Lynx39c102.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Lynx20c100.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Lynx43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9026…6924backed Lynx46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lynx45c91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.958548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Lynx53c88.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.884942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Liberty56c68.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.173056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Liberty52c61.97$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.754250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Lynx34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfef0…1282backed Liberty56c55.64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Lynx45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd19e…fabbbacked Liberty53c54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9889…ba35backed Lynx48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d9c…0f7ebacked Liberty77c51.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.74580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Liberty74c50.79$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.18837.5%33 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Lynx44c48.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-51.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Lynx44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205234.6%18 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2b7…7a44backed Lynx47c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.