NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a00d9a06f5b3d6186d1e96767996742a1a01042a6166a510438c94326393f5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers | 53c | 9,784$5,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,570.48 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Warriors | 47c | 6,809$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Warriors | 60c | 3,600$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Clippers | 62c | 3,225$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.24 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Warriors | 45c | 2,368$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.75 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Clippers | 77c | 2,326$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.17 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Clippers | 43c | 1,800$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.59 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Warriors | 61c | 1,716$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.58 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 12c | 1,379$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.48 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 49c | 1,206$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.63 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…11c2backed Clippers | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Clippers | 59c | 1,036$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.08 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Warriors | 1c | 1,019$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 38c | 994.58$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Warriors | 37c | 950$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.92 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Warriors | 44c | 910.76$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.33 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Warriors | 55c | 816.49$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.25 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Warriors | 40c | 789.58$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.16 | 124 | 27.4%34 W · 90 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers | 66c | 766.25$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.41 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Clippers | 43c | 735.4$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.52 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Clippers | 66c | 710$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.39 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Clippers | 55c | 700.19$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.66 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Clippers | 42c | 609.25$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.37 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Clippers | 42c | 599.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.75 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Clippers | 58c | 576.32$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.63 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Clippers | 39c | 565.74$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.52 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Warriors | 28c | 528.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Warriors | 62c | 500$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Warriors | 45c | 499.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Warriors | 42c | 499.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.73 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…602cbacked Warriors | 62c | 485.1$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.76 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Warriors | 63c | 471.17$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Warriors | 42c | 435.71$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers | 40c | 435.18$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.61 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Clippers | 43c | 418.71$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.66 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…8e75backed Warriors | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Clippers | 55c | 383$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.62 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Clippers | 55c | 359.95$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.98 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Clippers | 71c | 341.04$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Warriors | 38c | 323.1$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Warriors | 63c | 317.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…4e67backed Clippers | 67c | 305.16$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Warriors | 59c | 304$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.91 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Warriors | 38c | 301.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Clippers | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Warriors | 54c | 300$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…33acbacked Clippers | 67c | 300$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Clippers | 55c | 297.8$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.06 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Clippers | 39c | 265$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Warriors | 48c | 253.3$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…2dfcbacked Clippers | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117e…659cbacked Warriors | 41c | 242.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Warriors | 19c | 235$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Warriors | 58c | 232.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8b…903bbacked Clippers | 60c | 222$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Clippers | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Clippers | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Clippers | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Warriors | 56c | 199.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Warriors | 62c | 175.64$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Warriors | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ff…24a5backed Warriors | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Clippers | 78c | 172.48$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Warriors | 11c | 170$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Warriors | 60c | 165$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Warriors | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Clippers | 55c | 159.07$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Clippers | 54c | 155.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Warriors | 39c | 151.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…49afbacked Clippers | 45c | 145.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…cf79backed Warriors | 57c | 142.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked Warriors | 34c | 141.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Warriors | 34c | 131.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Warriors | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2506…61e3backed Clippers | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5a…ae80backed Clippers | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x763e…cee0backed Warriors | 46c | 108.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Warriors | 58c | 102.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Clippers | 48c | 101.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Warriors | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…f780backed Clippers | 38c | 99.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Clippers | 39c | 98.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Clippers | 41c | 96.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…cc97backed Warriors | 60c | 93.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Warriors | 34c | 93.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 42c | 83.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Warriors | 41c | 73.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 246 | 45.9%113 W · 133 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd65c…c1cbbacked Warriors | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…d8bebacked Clippers | 62c | 68.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Clippers | 40c | 64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Clippers | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 149 | 26.8%40 W · 109 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Clippers | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Clippers | 39c | 58.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Warriors | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Warriors | 35c | 57.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…4bf8backed Warriors | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…799ebacked Warriors | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 177 | 42.4%75 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Warriors | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560d…5a27backed Clippers | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.