College Football · resolved market
Pittsburgh vs. Florida State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a19f6be7f95d72d52d67f427dc3ae521b53e0343a31f1a86b6f6c8618b99f6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburghof Pittsburgh, Florida State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $634,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $639,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $634,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Pittsburgh | 23c | 401,106$92,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308,892.82 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Florida State | 77c | 219,619$169,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169,033.66 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Florida State | 77c | 71,082$54,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,770.04 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Florida State | 78c | 45,967$35,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,926.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Florida State | 77c | 37,247$28,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,680.19 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Florida State | 77c | 32,000$24,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,640.23 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Florida State | 78c | 29,304$22,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,784.7 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Pittsburgh | 23c | 21,290$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,392.93 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Florida State | 77c | 17,384$13,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,385.58 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pittsburgh | 19c | 12,665$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,262.01 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pittsburgh | 24c | 6,207$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,727.57 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pittsburgh | 46c | 6,112$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.49 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pittsburgh | 24c | 5,990$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,582.32 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida State | 77c | 4,857$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721.69 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Florida State | 46c | 4,538$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.25 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Pittsburgh | 49c | 4,236$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.19 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Pittsburgh | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.67 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pittsburgh | 21c | 3,770$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.63 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…898bbacked Florida State | 78c | 3,590$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pittsburgh | 22c | 3,248$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.3 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Pittsburgh | 23c | 3,192$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.82 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8c…672ebacked Pittsburgh | 22c | 2,979$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.95 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Florida State | 39c | 2,875$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.29 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Florida State | 2c | 2,640$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Florida State | 76c | 2,623$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.52 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pittsburgh | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Pittsburgh | 21c | 2,500$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Pittsburgh | 21c | 2,357$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.82 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Pittsburgh | 27c | 2,294$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.17 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Pittsburgh | 77c | 2,265$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.95 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Florida State | 77c | 2,189$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.91 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Pittsburgh | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.91 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Florida State | 23c | 2,015$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.7 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Florida State | 68c | 1,765$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.86 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…2523backed Florida State | 77c | 1,729$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…2b5dbacked Pittsburgh | 24c | 1,729$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Florida State | 76c | 1,721$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.09 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…406abacked Florida State | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Pittsburgh | 28c | 1,469$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.13 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Florida State | 1c | 1,450$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Florida State | 65c | 1,400$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.99 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Pittsburgh | 22c | 1,200$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida State | 76c | 1,143$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.88 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed Pittsburgh | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Pittsburgh | 23c | 1,100$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.29 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pittsburgh | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Pittsburgh | 52c | 792.18$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.41 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pittsburgh | 60c | 740.6$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.24 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…c950backed Pittsburgh | 24c | 700$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pittsburgh | 28c | 639$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.55 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Pittsburgh | 21c | 600$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Pittsburgh | 35c | 574.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.38 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…2be0backed Pittsburgh | 38c | 529.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Florida State | 29c | 520$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Pittsburgh | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Pittsburgh | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Pittsburgh | 24c | 445.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.83 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…87ebbacked Pittsburgh | 46c | 438.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Pittsburgh | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Pittsburgh | 18c | 410.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pittsburgh | 26c | 400.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.84 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Pittsburgh | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Florida State | 42c | 395.02$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.69 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida State | 55c | 376.2$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.17 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pittsburgh | 33c | 346.84$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.84 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Florida State | 40c | 305$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Florida State | 79c | 289.9$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.02 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ef…2891backed Florida State | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…694abacked Pittsburgh | 24c | 235.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pittsburgh | 46c | 227.53$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Florida State | 69c | 215.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pittsburgh | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Pittsburgh | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Florida State | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Florida State | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Florida State | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Pittsburgh | 18c | 199.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…c5a6backed Pittsburgh | 58c | 193.54$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed Pittsburgh | 22c | 191.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.13 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Pittsburgh | 20c | 190$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.47 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Florida State | 56c | 177.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Pittsburgh | 21c | 169.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Pittsburgh | 21c | 150$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Florida State | 8c | 145.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Pittsburgh | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Pittsburgh | 24c | 130$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Florida State | 77c | 129.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5a00backed Pittsburgh | 39c | 128.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Florida State | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Florida State | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Florida State | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Florida State | 77c | 124$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Pittsburgh | 22c | 120$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Florida State | 77c | 117.83$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Pittsburgh | 22c | 115.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.12 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Florida State | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7924…a7b0backed Florida State | 75c | 104.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed Pittsburgh | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Florida State | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Florida State | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh vs. Florida Statethis page
- O/U 57.5Over won
- Pittsburgh vs. Florida State: O/U 58.5Over won
- Spread: Florida State (-10.5)Pittsburgh won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.