MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54955dc6144439b7c4045b58ea530c009d2a93e054e9ea6a1e276491329a43da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Cleveland Guardians, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 68,799$20,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,280.93 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…ac17backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 26,087$16,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,946.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 17,313$8,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,222.02 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 13,043$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,043.48 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 12,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.97 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 11,953$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.25 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Seattle Mariners | 80c | 9,396$7,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.83 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 7,516$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.66 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 6,328$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.34 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 3,791$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.8 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 3,680$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.61 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 2,577$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.57 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 2,400$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,269$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.04 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 2,041$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.98 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 1,800$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,798$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.09 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 1,505$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.02 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 1,338$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.37 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 1,325$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.01 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,308$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 1,244$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.16 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 1,113$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 1,111$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.18 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…6b95backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 991.04$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 878$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.11 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…0230backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 811.94$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.94 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 72cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 810$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…382dbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 740$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.4 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 678$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.26 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 647.38$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.48 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 601.2$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.34 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…019cbacked Seattle Mariners | 78c | 586.78$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.48 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Seattle Mariners | 70c | 534.34$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.51 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 532.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 444$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 437.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 427$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.26 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 409.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 388.13$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.85 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 350$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.94 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 338.94$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.87 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 306.1$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 271.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 262$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 258.78$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.39 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 237.04$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 225$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 221.94$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 219$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 212$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a1…ee48backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 200.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 194.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…7199backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 182$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93c…475ebacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 180$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 179.88$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 176$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 167.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 158.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 155$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 151.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 144$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 143$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 141.26$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 140.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 130.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46d…aae7backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 126.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 122.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 112$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3a…2477backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 112$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 109$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 104.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 103.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…3638backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 100.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.