NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33b279819ed31cb75804cfac3ef20502c1b9d13e7f624bf97b42f1aa05332f4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ce5…18f7backed Kings | 28c | 17,500$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 72c | 7,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f0…d786backed Lakers | 73c | 6,800$4,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,964 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b21…fed5backed Lakers | 72c | 6,590$4,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,744.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…b253backed Lakers | 72c | 6,240$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kings | 27c | 6,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,360 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Lakers | 72c | 5,500$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.99 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lakers | 64c | 4,004$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.4 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Lakers | 70c | 3,492$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.3 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 29c | 3,421$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.08 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 30c | 3,050$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263b…cac0backed Lakers | 76c | 3,031$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Kings | 35c | 3,008$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.76 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Kings | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.98 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Kings | 34c | 2,650$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.5 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Kings | 28c | 2,583$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.11 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lakers | 70c | 2,254$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.82 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa213…cda4backed Kings | 29c | 2,130$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +239.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Kings | 29c | 1,852$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.13 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Lakers | 71c | 1,833$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.13 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 71c | 1,541$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.63 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Lakers | 1c | 1,435$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Lakers | 76c | 1,295$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.79 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Kings | 29c | 1,233$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.29 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Kings | 30c | 1,230$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861 | 243 | 23.9%58 W · 185 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Lakers | 67c | 1,042$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.15 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lakers | 39c | 1,040$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.26 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…a469backed Kings | 60c | 997.45$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.57 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Kings | 19c | 750.07$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.91 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 37c | 737.64$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.42 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Kings | 29c | 719.43$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.12 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 30c | 692.73$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.07 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Kings | 27c | 609.25$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.75 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Kings | 33c | 597.2$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.12 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 55c | 504.52$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.41 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Lakers | 74c | 500$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.81 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Kings | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Lakers | 67c | 487.51$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.63 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kings | 32c | 477.09$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.89 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Kings | 29c | 463.06$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.77 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Kings | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…8e75backed Lakers | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kings | 28c | 397$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.84 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 70c | 391.71$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 47c | 391$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.8 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Lakers | 66c | 384.76$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.84 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Lakers | 71c | 350.02$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.47 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Kings | 29c | 348.27$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.27 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…2723backed Kings | 34c | 330.3$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.89 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed Lakers | 79c | 325.56$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.1 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Lakers | 7c | 315$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Lakers | 75c | 307.98$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.14 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…e0d4backed Kings | 36c | 307.14$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.57 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kings | 65c | 287$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ee…700bbacked Kings | 30c | 260.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.89 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Lakers | 7c | 255.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9efc…952ebacked Lakers | 79c | 252.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…dee1backed Kings | 32c | 250.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.59 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…0926backed Kings | 21c | 242.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Kings | 32c | 233.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.59 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c26…0900backed Kings | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Kings | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1b…7d60backed Kings | 29c | 199.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.98 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Lakers | 71c | 199.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.98 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Kings | 28c | 199.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Kings | 28c | 199.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lakers | 71c | 187.29$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.05 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Lakers | 70c | 174.27$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Kings | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Lakers | 66c | 152.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Kings | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 440 | 40.5%178 W · 262 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Lakers | 23c | 145.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Kings | 22c | 138.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lakers | 67c | 130.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Lakers | 71c | 128$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…32d4backed Kings | 33c | 126$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Kings | 37c | 123.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Kings | 40c | 121.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 124 | 27.4%34 W · 90 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Kings | 33c | 120$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Kings | 33c | 114$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Lakers | 64c | 111.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 29c | 108$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.48 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Kings | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8b…903bbacked Lakers | 66c | 105.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…d8bebacked Lakers | 38c | 100.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Kings | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Lakers | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Kings | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Lakers | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…f780backed Kings | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Kings | 29c | 97.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x763e…cee0backed Lakers | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Kings | 34c | 76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Kings | 29c | 72.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1f8fbacked Lakers | 73c | 71.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e50…d9abbacked Lakers | 72c | 71.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…876cbacked Lakers | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…0d96backed Lakers | 78c | 69.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…4e67backed Kings | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Kings | 28c | 67.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.