MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3964789cb0f44950685f589ae22d11f9bc95ac602d7ff2092cf2d400b419c6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 61c | 30,209$18,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,726.35 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 20c | 27,316$5,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555.33 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 40c | 16,444$6,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,612.21 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Twins | 40c | 8,998$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.03 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Twins | 40c | 7,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Twins | 16c | 6,866$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.01 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 51c | 5,941$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.38 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 39c | 4,921$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yankees | 62c | 4,526$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.98 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yankees | 59c | 4,399$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.79 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Twins | 41c | 3,485$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.88 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…406abacked Yankees | 67c | 2,920$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yankees | 66c | 2,688$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Twins | 40c | 2,500$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.99 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Twins | 25c | 2,029$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.02 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Yankees | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 41c | 1,979$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Twins | 41c | 1,665$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.65 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Twins | 39c | 1,440$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.65 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Twins | 38c | 1,428$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.8 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Twins | 41c | 1,403$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.22 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Twins | 38c | 1,302$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…1f75backed Yankees | 60c | 1,267$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Yankees | 59c | 1,235$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.96 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Twins | 39c | 1,225$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.71 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Twins | 38c | 1,001$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.38 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Yankees | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Twins | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yankees | 66c | 999$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.66 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Twins | 41c | 991.46$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.5 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Twins | 30c | 989.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Twins | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Twins | 33c | 975$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.79 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Yankees | 59c | 956.57$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Twins | 41c | 900.24$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.1 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…9717backed Twins | 41c | 900$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Twins | 6c | 863.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yankees | 59c | 847$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.27 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yankees | 60c | 756.75$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.7 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees | 59c | 751$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.47 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Twins | 38c | 686$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.68 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Yankees | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Twins | 42c | 654.5$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.02 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yankees | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Twins | 36c | 644$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.92 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Twins | 6c | 605.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yankees | 56c | 560$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.54 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Twins | 20c | 541.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Twins | 38c | 530$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Yankees | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees | 59c | 500$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Twins | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yankees | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 40c | 500$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Yankees | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Twins | 38c | 485.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.67 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yankees | 45c | 485.79$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.18 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Twins | 43c | 469.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Twins | 42c | 421.6$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.87 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Twins | 3c | 413.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Yankees | 59c | 402$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.98 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Twins | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Yankees | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Twins | 39c | 374.71$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.14 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…1a19backed Twins | 41c | 367.83$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yankees | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Yankees | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Twins | 22c | 280.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Twins | 7c | 276.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 111 | 16.2%18 W · 93 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Twins | 39c | 269.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yankees | 60c | 265$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yankees | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Yankees | 55c | 256.78$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.55 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yankees | 60c | 221.57$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Yankees | 45c | 218$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.82 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yankees | 59c | 211.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…54bbbacked Yankees | 61c | 209.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…2e56backed Twins | 40c | 206.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Twins | 9c | 201$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Yankees | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…ed4fbacked Twins | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yankees | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Yankees | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x38bf…6682backed Yankees | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yankees | 60c | 168.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Yankees | 60c | 166.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Yankees | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Yankees | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yankees | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yankees | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Twins | 38c | 149.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Twins | 41c | 129.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Yankees | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 17c | 123.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…cc97backed Yankees | 63c | 116.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yankees vs. Twinsthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.