College Football · resolved market
Indiana vs. Oregon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d166f471f82ab55fd3f5569571db2524f0970d5d458f35fca3f0b0812fdc6e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indianaof Indiana, Oregon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $472,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $459,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $472,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Oregon | 62c | 114,599$70,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,751.42 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Indiana | 42c | 53,308$22,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,160.25 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Indiana | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Oregon | 50c | 43,371$21,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,685.64 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Indiana | 36c | 39,065$14,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,014.19 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Oregon | 72c | 25,995$18,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,716.39 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oregon | 13c | 19,890$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.51 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Indiana | 28c | 15,509$4,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,166.48 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Indiana | 42c | 14,645$6,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,544.32 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Oregon | 74c | 12,215$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Indiana | 30c | 9,824$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,876.59 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Indiana | 28c | 9,515$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,850.56 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Indiana | 28c | 7,352$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,296.66 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Indiana | 28c | 7,236$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.96 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oregon | 70c | 5,317$3,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,728.18 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Oregon | 50c | 5,109$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.45 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Oregon | 70c | 4,919$3,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,443.4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana | 36c | 4,465$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.07 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Oregon | 72c | 4,380$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.56 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Indiana | 39c | 4,060$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.48 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8c…672ebacked Indiana | 27c | 3,867$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.87 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Oregon | 63c | 3,553$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.44 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Indiana | 26c | 3,487$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.28 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe639…9122backed Oregon | 43c | 3,334$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Oregon | 72c | 3,167$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Indiana | 54c | 2,974$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.96 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Indiana | 36c | 2,342$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.9 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Oregon | 71c | 2,283$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.6 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Oregon | 42c | 2,148$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.33 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Indiana | 27c | 2,068$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.65 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Oregon | 38c | 1,883$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.42 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Oregon | 71c | 1,809$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.5 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Indiana | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…c5a6backed Indiana | 43c | 1,508$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Oregon | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…6877backed Oregon | 33c | 1,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Indiana | 40c | 1,466$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.77 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Oregon | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Oregon | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Oregon | 15c | 1,200$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.41 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oregon | 40c | 1,185$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.61 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Oregon | 52c | 1,143$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.2 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oregon | 59c | 1,140$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.2 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Indiana | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Indiana | 71c | 1,120$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.8 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b4…ba69backed Oregon | 4c | 1,052$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Oregon | 67c | 1,024$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Indiana | 30c | 1,019$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.86 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Oregon | 66c | 1,010$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Indiana | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Indiana | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Oregon | 41c | 991$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.31 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Indiana | 55c | 991$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.95 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Indiana | 35c | 933.85$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Indiana | 27c | 924.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.24 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…18dabacked Indiana | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Indiana | 27c | 908.3$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.06 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oregon | 71c | 872$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.12 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oregon | 71c | 840.12$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.1 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Oregon | 72c | 809$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed Indiana | 35c | 784.05$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.93 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…c950backed Indiana | 28c | 750$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Oregon | 68c | 738.63$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Oregon | 72c | 736.69$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.42 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oregon | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Indiana | 27c | 690.37$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.97 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Indiana | 26c | 654.6$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.4 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c36…9719backed Indiana | 35c | 617$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Indiana | 26c | 600$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Indiana | 26c | 600$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…406abacked Indiana | 39c | 569.79$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Oregon | 50c | 525$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…9159backed Oregon | 73c | 505.15$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…c27ebacked Indiana | 39c | 502.6$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…94cabacked Oregon | 66c | 496.03$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.38 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Oregon | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Oregon | 65c | 447.75$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.87 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Oregon | 72c | 440.28$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Oregon | 72c | 438$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Oregon | 73c | 438$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.74 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Oregon | 51c | 431.71$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08a…f88fbacked Oregon | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Oregon | 65c | 410$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Oregon | 45c | 384.44$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…7bc9backed Oregon | 74c | 380.99$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Indiana | 46c | 368.2$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.75 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Indiana | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Indiana | 28c | 352.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.01 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Indiana | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Oregon | 63c | 315.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Indiana | 49c | 308.95$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.65 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Oregon | 51c | 291.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…b898backed Indiana | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Indiana | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d3…86f1backed Oregon | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…8cb4backed Oregon | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…694abacked Indiana | 28c | 260.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…7afcbacked Oregon | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Indiana | 29c | 239$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.69 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Indiana | 71c | 218.11$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana vs. Oregonthis page
- Indiana vs. Oregon: O/U 52.5Under won
- Indiana vs. Oregon: O/U 53.5Under won
- Indiana vs. Oregon: O/U 54.5Under won
- O/U 55.5Under won
- Spread: Oregon (-7.5)Indiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.