TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

SMU Mustangs vs. Clemson

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SMU Mustangsof SMU Mustangs, Clemson
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$795,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$813,203

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $795,614 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked SMU Mustangs40c464,576$185,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278,982.13862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Clemson60c119,364$71,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,618.434250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Clemson60c112,655$67,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,880.181847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked SMU Mustangs49c69,280$34,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,172.0368440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Clemson60c60,000$36,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,00016635.5%59 W · 107 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed SMU Mustangs39c47,060$18,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,749.5732745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Clemson61c35,149$21,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,41937749.6%187 W · 190 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Clemson29c28,402$8,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,228.718331.3%26 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Clemson60c26,815$16,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,098.158549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Clemson60c25,275$15,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,16520450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Clemson44c24,460$10,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,818.8930949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Clemson60c21,519$12,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,911.2915745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Clemson72c20,680$14,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,816.9675651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Clemson60c19,598$11,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,670.2985947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Clemson62c16,221$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.664841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Clemson60c15,165$9,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,099.5510448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Clemson61c13,025$7,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,967.2921055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Clemson61c9,996$6,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,097.5615352.3%80 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Clemson60c8,806$5,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,283.8526147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed SMU Mustangs37c8,556$3,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,385.5538450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clemson60c8,369$5,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,045.7152641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Clemson29c7,542$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.642748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Clemson60c7,440$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,439.591330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-51.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77a1…fbe0backed Clemson33c6,659$2,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clemson61c5,944$3,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,601.92,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clemson32c5,682$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.1386243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Clemson65c5,494$3,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,558.8949443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed SMU Mustangs71c4,554$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.1227648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Clemson60c4,200$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52011248.2%54 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f89…d508backed SMU Mustangs76c3,958$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.86366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Clemson62c3,890$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,396.9349253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed SMU Mustangs41c3,677$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.24141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Clemson35c3,396$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.3555350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked Clemson19c2,707$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.793745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Clemson62c2,686$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.0817954.2%97 W · 82 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed SMU Mustangs38c2,630$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.567448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Clemson60c2,500$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51016945.6%77 W · 92 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked Clemson60c2,500$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5105856.9%33 W · 25 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x63af…0a25backed Clemson60c2,500$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5102450%12 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Clemson31c2,451$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.219048.9%44 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x807d…1e89backed SMU Mustangs74c2,286$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked SMU Mustangs38c2,200$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.9838142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed SMU Mustangs39c2,062$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.1124348.1%117 W · 126 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked SMU Mustangs58c1,700$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7149446.8%44 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed SMU Mustangs66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8d…f2c7backed Clemson62c1,397$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.931040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Clemson40c1,243$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4935244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Clemson60c1,200$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72016747.9%80 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x254e…0a56backed SMU Mustangs40c1,166$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Clemson71c1,098$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.941,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked Clemson61c1,050$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6454961.2%30 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Clemson62c1,000$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.4310742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Clemson2c999.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511436%41 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Clemson8c987.5$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797664.5%49 W · 27 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+65.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec30…f1aabacked Clemson21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Clemson62c885$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.2514355.2%79 W · 64 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Clemson60c875$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52519051.6%98 W · 92 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf16…a240backed SMU Mustangs75c856.53$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.137440.5%30 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked SMU Mustangs25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60017946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Clemson60c800$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48211735.9%42 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Clemson44c795$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.0210750.5%54 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Clemson7c791$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3726750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed SMU Mustangs66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.582259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c51…af7ebacked SMU Mustangs36c750$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48011844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked Clemson60c750$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4532962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+21%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed Clemson60c750$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4533762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clemson56c685$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.8548546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Clemson60c666.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed SMU Mustangs40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3758348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked SMU Mustangs59c459.66$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.461070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Clemson74c459.25$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.6150358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Clemson27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825819.8%51 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Clemson60c394$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.41643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Clemson53c390.99$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9740541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f82…d6abbacked SMU Mustangs49c350$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1777048.6%34 W · 36 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f60…bbccbacked Clemson60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked SMU Mustangs41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17710848.1%52 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked SMU Mustangs75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.675648.2%27 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x355c…e6d4backed SMU Mustangs36c260.72$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7210347.6%49 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Clemson50c257.49$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.755352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Clemson60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010944%48 W · 61 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked SMU Mustangs25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1507445.9%34 W · 40 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed SMU Mustangs39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1225729.8%17 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56bb…8e6bbacked SMU Mustangs40c199.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb4e…5ff1backed SMU Mustangs56c179.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7fc…bffabacked SMU Mustangs36c174.17$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked Clemson60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Clemson37c163.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609142.9%39 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb911…a649backed Clemson65c154.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+70%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed SMU Mustangs36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e0…22d2backed SMU Mustangs69c144.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.94875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed SMU Mustangs35c134.21$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2438546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe876…7346backed SMU Mustangs75c133.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7993…f208backed SMU Mustangs77c129.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaef5…a454backed Clemson60c125$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755754.4%31 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+40.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed Clemson61c125$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2510246.1%47 W · 55 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda82…5da2backed SMU Mustangs38c115$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.35251.9%27 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5b…24edbacked SMU Mustangs36c112$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.68683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+78.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed SMU Mustangs36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1116839.9%67 W · 101 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Clemson59c110.52$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2516044.4%71 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.