NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad7015323a06e5386830e372991cdf29fbcbff7aa458fae84a059b6b11fe9e08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jacketsof Lightning, Blue Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $391,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $394,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Lightning | 46c | 144,805$67,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,113.13 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 99,068$52,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,241.72 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jackets | 58c | 58,391$33,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,716.49 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Lightning | 46c | 33,131$15,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,403.62 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 22,368$11,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,513.12 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lightning | 46c | 16,077$7,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,320.57 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 16,025$8,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,371.3 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jackets | 54c | 14,983$8,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,892.1 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lightning | 47c | 14,581$6,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,785.94 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jackets | 52c | 13,362$7,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,359.94 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Lightning | 45c | 11,185$5,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015.1 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Lightning | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Lightning | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.99 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Lightning | 45c | 9,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.97 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Blue Jackets | 52c | 8,995$4,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317.59 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blue Jackets | 54c | 8,429$4,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.34 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Lightning | 45c | 8,389$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.98 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Blue Jackets | 64c | 7,837$5,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.84 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Lightning | 46c | 7,749$3,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,581.71 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lightning | 47c | 6,700$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Lightning | 46c | 5,830$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.17 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 5,732$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.52 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b77…80b3backed Lightning | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lightning | 46c | 4,877$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.21 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lightning | 30c | 4,245$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.97 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Lightning | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lightning | 45c | 3,434$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.34 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lightning | 46c | 3,108$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Lightning | 47c | 3,000$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Blue Jackets | 52c | 2,769$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.12 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Blue Jackets | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 2,298$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.01 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 25c | 2,269$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.94 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Lightning | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked Blue Jackets | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blue Jackets | 54c | 1,807$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.87 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Lightning | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.99 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Lightning | 47c | 1,201$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.82 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lightning | 46c | 1,195$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.7 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blue Jackets | 51c | 1,052$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.98 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 1,010$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.17 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Lightning | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 47c | 992$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.64 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 48c | 876.58$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.76 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Lightning | 47c | 855.88$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.26 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Lightning | 49c | 845.15$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.67 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 714.38$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.76 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 653$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.85 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Lightning | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blue Jackets | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lightning | 49c | 578.58$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.57 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jackets | 69c | 483.56$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.01 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 35c | 473$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.39 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc892…a8a7backed Lightning | 47c | 470$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 464.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Blue Jackets | 53c | 449.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.99 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Lightning | 47c | 445.53$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.4 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Lightning | 47c | 425.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…df51backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 420.1$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Lightning | 46c | 370$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.86 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Lightning | 47c | 365.7$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.59 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 362.23$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.23 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Lightning | 4c | 333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Lightning | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Lightning | 47c | 288.68$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1674…1aa3backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 267$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Lightning | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Lightning | 47c | 244.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Lightning | 49c | 224.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -11.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5315…0753backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Lightning | 46c | 216.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…4eadbacked Lightning | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Lightning | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Lightning | 46c | 208.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…c104backed Lightning | 49c | 206.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Lightning | 46c | 200.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Lightning | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Lightning | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Lightning | 48c | 199.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Blue Jackets | 34c | 196.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.09 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Lightning | 46c | 191.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Blue Jackets | 65c | 189.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…0eafbacked Blue Jackets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Lightning | 47c | 175$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…6cd8backed Blue Jackets | 70c | 172.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Lightning | 38c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Lightning | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Lightning | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 144.27$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 142.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Blue Jackets | 63c | 140$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Blue Jackets | 67c | 138.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Blue Jackets | 51c | 137.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Lightning | 38c | 129.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked Lightning | 23c | 129.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 129.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Blue Jackets | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsthis page
- Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.