TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$206,677
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,677 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed No61c22,301$13,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,511.738957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes39c10,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1006240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes40c8,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed No60c6,000$3,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,620944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa300…6925backed No60c3,656$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No53c3,136$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e9…16c2backed No60c3,091$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes43c2,910$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.454,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2b…493fbacked Yes40c2,121$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b09…a47dbacked No60c2,051$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcced…4314backed Yes40c2,007$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x715e…d4d6backed Yes40c2,007$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3d…73dcbacked Yes40c1,976$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x218e…a829backed No60c1,954$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes39c1,923$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.8330634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8421…7a9dbacked Yes40c1,895$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1371100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7040…eb6fbacked Yes40c1,855$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1131100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5936…e1c3backed Yes40c1,824$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf90…669ebacked Yes40c1,797$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x232e…107dbacked Yes40c1,686$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b64…139dbacked Yes40c1,683$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ee…3857backed No60c1,680$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee91…5ef9backed No60c1,610$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc60…02fcbacked No60c1,610$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa44…2304backed Yes40c1,582$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8681…321ebacked No60c1,570$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…be06backed No60c1,553$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf00b…71d2backed No60c1,543$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7856…558abacked No60c1,515$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003218.8%6 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb56d…bb1dbacked Yes40c1,496$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde12…a508backed Yes40c1,446$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes40c1,433$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.0264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e9c…ca5bbacked Yes40c1,426$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad90…a8d0backed Yes40c1,308$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x798f…e272backed Yes40c1,274$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb0…aed8backed Yes40c1,265$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No5c1,210$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2626930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ced…ac2cbacked No60c1,193$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6085…4880backed Yes40c1,191$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Yes62c1,178$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.483946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No6c1,143$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5129038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4992…8a2abacked No60c1,114$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec7…83fbbacked Yes40c1,102$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe982…7329backed Yes40c1,066$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes41c1,049$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.7417252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5924…e5dfbacked Yes40c1,032$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd19e…fabbbacked No61c1,021$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.38933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac3…11d2backed Yes40c1,017$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c90…5b00backed No60c1,002$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…2e84backed No60c937$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes39c930.84$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.5453242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d97…2ad3backed No60c927$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x001e…8316backed No60c914$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c0f…c804backed Yes40c904$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd69…1f32backed Yes40c892$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9586…554abacked No60c889$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No24c888.08$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.393,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe99d…11d8backed No60c863$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x705e…60a7backed Yes40c861$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…ca89backed Yes41c856.88$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.882540%10 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0da9…992fbacked No60c852$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e18…5039backed Yes40c836$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eee…77c3backed Yes40c833$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5b…ce8fbacked No60c823$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aaa…3144backed No60c818$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b86…377dbacked No60c816$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1985…ef00backed Yes40c814$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No60c812.51$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.516141%25 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes40c800$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4806238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes40c792.5$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.56756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe737…deabbacked No60c771$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x707c…2cbcbacked No60c769$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1924…90bbbacked Yes40c765$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab9…d322backed No60c756$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x038f…0834backed Yes40c725$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x579e…48f4backed No60c710$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…1efcbacked No60c705$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a1…c853backed No60c675$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No51c675$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.435832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d5…8657backed Yes40c673$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd73…75f7backed Yes40c660$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x115e…ec58backed Yes40c609$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bd6…f88ebacked No60c593$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No4c587$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3515036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8d…673abacked No60c576.84$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.351822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-62%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4caf…46cdbacked No60c573$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4290…5515backed No60c559$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3e…9efabacked Yes40c555$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3334100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+59.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes39c536.97$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.5521641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c532.38$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.181,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No59c530.15$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.7916740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b6…b196backed Yes40c509$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…1efbbacked No60c509$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes39c507.48$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.134440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0409…a5d6backed Yes40c502$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No60c500$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.673138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.