NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64ed68dcb14f553b200ef86a6bd070a9c4cd48a22c33f7c2f3007d7c5f44aa24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Pelicans, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Pelicans | 31c | 10,150$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.48 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Magic | 69c | 9,208$6,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,854.61 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans | 19c | 8,942$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.76 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Magic | 72c | 6,002$4,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.7 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Pelicans | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Pelicans | 24c | 2,683$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.97 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Pelicans | 29c | 2,356$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.9 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 28c | 2,050$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Magic | 71c | 1,888$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263b…cac0backed Magic | 69c | 1,551$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Magic | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Pelicans | 29c | 1,100$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…e0d4backed Pelicans | 29c | 1,070$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 71c | 1,023$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked Pelicans | 32c | 900$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Pelicans | 21c | 804$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.57 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pelicans | 19c | 788$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.39 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked Pelicans | 24c | 775.46$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.46 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Magic | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Magic | 73c | 670.21$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.96 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Pelicans | 22c | 667.08$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.48 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Pelicans | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 30c | 663$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Pelicans | 17c | 655.22$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Magic | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pelicans | 29c | 596.79$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.07 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Pelicans | 29c | 579.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.59 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans | 16c | 570.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…fdd9backed Pelicans | 30c | 504.61$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Magic | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Pelicans | 33c | 479.91$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.37 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Magic | 70c | 448$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…2723backed Pelicans | 26c | 419.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.36 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Magic | 74c | 404.69$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Pelicans | 28c | 400.42$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.12 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…784abacked Magic | 70c | 400.35$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…8e75backed Pelicans | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pelicans | 27c | 390$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Pelicans | 20c | 380.15$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Pelicans | 28c | 371.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Pelicans | 31c | 352.2$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pelicans | 27c | 348$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Pelicans | 27c | 338.91$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Pelicans | 13c | 321$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…61b1backed Pelicans | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Magic | 67c | 300$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Pelicans | 30c | 299.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Pelicans | 16c | 267.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e3…e940backed Pelicans | 15c | 265$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Magic | 74c | 264.95$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Pelicans | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans | 20c | 247.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 31c | 236$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Pelicans | 12c | 220$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Magic | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Magic | 73c | 180.81$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pelicans | 21c | 171.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Pelicans | 23c | 144$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…ac80backed Pelicans | 22c | 137.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Pelicans | 20c | 135$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Pelicans | 22c | 134.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Pelicans | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…7243backed Pelicans | 30c | 101.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…fb32backed Pelicans | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Pelicans | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 27.4%34 W · 90 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pelicans | 36c | 89.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…0201backed Pelicans | 26c | 84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…d8b7backed Pelicans | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Magic | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Pelicans | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Pelicans | 18c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked Pelicans | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bfe0backed Pelicans | 21c | 61.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…e0c4backed Pelicans | 31c | 53.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Pelicans | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ac…4bdabacked Magic | 71c | 53.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…ae4cbacked Magic | 74c | 32.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…bd7abacked Magic | 71c | 29.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Magic | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 78c | 23.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…2bfabacked Magic | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e4…3fd9backed Magic | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Magic | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…3be8backed Magic | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Magicthis page
- Pelicans vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.