NFL · resolved market
Dolphins vs. Colts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb056305ae1515cfc9d3b990f736de52dae0589804afff219501f28c41d10e6fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coltsof Dolphins, Colts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $993,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,146,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $993,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2c5…79a0backed Colts | 53c | 358,897$188,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170,120.27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Dolphins | 48c | 200,680$95,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,411.64 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Dolphins | 47c | 108,445$50,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,969.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Dolphins | 50c | 86,847$43,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,057.31 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Colts | 50c | 64,475$32,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,175.72 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Colts | 68c | 51,108$34,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,508.41 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Dolphins | 50c | 44,386$22,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,193.24 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Dolphins | 25c | 43,514$10,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,967.42 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dolphins | 41c | 37,330$15,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,490.94 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Colts | 64c | 34,373$21,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,523.17 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Dolphins | 5c | 29,572$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.6 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Dolphins | 30c | 28,248$8,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,421.24 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Dolphins | 48c | 26,897$12,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,910.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Dolphins | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Colts | 51c | 17,537$8,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,593.13 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Colts | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Dolphins | 4c | 14,378$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.8 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Colts | 50c | 12,489$6,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,244.39 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…8d8dbacked Colts | 50c | 11,988$5,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,993.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc125…15fcbacked Dolphins | 1c | 10,445$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dolphins | 49c | 8,614$4,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,256.3 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Colts | 50c | 8,254$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,127 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Dolphins | 2c | 7,188$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.88 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Dolphins | 50c | 6,904$3,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,443.01 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Colts | 50c | 6,006$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.82 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Colts | 71c | 5,200$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Colts | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Dolphins | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Colts | 51c | 4,900$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.16 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colts | 74c | 4,491$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.46 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Dolphins | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Colts | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Dolphins | 0c | 4,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Dolphins | 48c | 3,458$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.48 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Colts | 52c | 3,346$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.08 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Colts | 53c | 3,000$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.65 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Dolphins | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Dolphins | 51c | 2,958$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.58 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Dolphins | 48c | 2,604$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Dolphins | 1c | 2,524$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dolphins | 47c | 2,491$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.63 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Colts | 70c | 2,371$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.21 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…dd2fbacked Dolphins | 6c | 2,100$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Dolphins | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Dolphins | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Colts | 51c | 1,990$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.88 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Dolphins | 17c | 1,639$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.8 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Dolphins | 1c | 1,314$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…7926backed Dolphins | 47c | 1,287$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Dolphins | 19c | 1,240$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.2 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked Dolphins | 48c | 1,200$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Colts | 50c | 1,054$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Dolphins | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Dolphins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…e320backed Dolphins | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Colts | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Dolphins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Colts | 52c | 960$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…f3c4backed Colts | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Colts | 48c | 752.08$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.4 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Dolphins | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Dolphins | 51c | 705.88$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Dolphins | 50c | 700$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Colts | 69c | 688.43$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colts | 65c | 684.69$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.68 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Colts | 71c | 629.54$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Colts | 52c | 625$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Colts | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Colts | 52c | 585$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…7648backed Dolphins | 50c | 580$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Dolphins | 47c | 539.82$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.72 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Colts | 60c | 535.53$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.52 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked Colts | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Dolphins | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Dolphins | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Dolphins | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Dolphins | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Colts | 49c | 499.93$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.96 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Colts | 75c | 496.51$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.41 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b5…e04fbacked Colts | 49c | 489.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colts | 70c | 485.32$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.02 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Dolphins | 48c | 479.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.39 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Colts | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Dolphins | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Dolphins | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c96…abc5backed Dolphins | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Colts | 75c | 400.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Colts | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Colts | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…2071backed Colts | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Colts | 50c | 398.95$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.6 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Dolphins | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Colts | 52c | 384.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.61 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Dolphins | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Colts | 52c | 343.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.11 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Dolphins | 52c | 335.04$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.22 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Colts | 50c | 304.17$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.08 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colts | 50c | 302$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Dolphins | 31c | 300$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Dolphins | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dolphins vs. Coltsthis page
- Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Dolphins (-0.5)Colts won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.