NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0471201d7063cac2fb4580d1a4858c4b2a5946aa48d1ef2427e732c620f1c75e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $271,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $283,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mavericks | 57c | 47,962$27,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,530.83 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mavericks | 69c | 44,277$30,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,609.85 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Mavericks | 54c | 32,385$17,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,871.11 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Lakers | 44c | 30,618$13,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,555.33 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lakers | 32c | 30,418$9,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,783.7 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 43c | 30,105$12,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,858.18 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 42c | 14,939$6,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,285.67 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mavericks | 70c | 12,692$8,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.54 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Lakers | 46c | 8,952$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150.04 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Lakers | 55c | 5,228$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.42per pick | 54cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Lakers | 30c | 4,990$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Lakers | 30c | 4,402$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.77 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…a469backed Mavericks | 72c | 4,392$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.67 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Lakers | 40c | 4,387$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.44 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Lakers | 28c | 4,371$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.47 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…42c6backed Lakers | 30c | 3,860$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mavericks | 70c | 3,600$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lakers | 27c | 3,416$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.41 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 30c | 3,177$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Mavericks | 62c | 2,322$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.58 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lakers | 46c | 2,102$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.03 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 31c | 2,050$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Lakers | 18c | 2,000$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 20c | 1,979$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.8 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…c1efbacked Mavericks | 57c | 1,969$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Mavericks | 62c | 1,796$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.66 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Mavericks | 68c | 1,733$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.59 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 31c | 1,623$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.65 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 35c | 1,602$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Lakers | 42c | 1,600$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.4 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lakers | 51c | 1,580$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.26 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Lakers | 30c | 1,500$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Lakers | 33c | 1,438$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.27 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Lakers | 30c | 1,400$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.86 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Mavericks | 72c | 1,382$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.24 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…8c39backed Mavericks | 66c | 1,289$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.43 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…3155backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,085$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c0…93fdbacked Lakers | 30c | 1,067$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked Lakers | 32c | 1,000$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.6 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Mavericks | 80c | 1,000$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 95 | 73.7%70 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Lakers | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Lakers | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…a13cbacked Mavericks | 41c | 950$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 31c | 947$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Lakers | 29c | 908.97$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.25 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Mavericks | 55c | 882.27$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.71 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Lakers | 46c | 836$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.64 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Mavericks | 67c | 818.36$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.06 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Mavericks | 73c | 742$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Mavericks | 70c | 694.64$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.49 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Mavericks | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Lakers | 15c | 674.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Lakers | 46c | 672$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.81 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Lakers | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Lakers | 30c | 649.57$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.87 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Lakers | 42c | 634.33$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.22 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Mavericks | 74c | 619.39$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.04 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Lakers | 33c | 612.85$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.24 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Lakers | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lakers | 43c | 588.03$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 37c | 525.65$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.16 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Mavericks | 54c | 518.72$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mavericks | 67c | 515.94$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.34 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lakers | 42c | 514$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.54 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Lakers | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Lakers | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mavericks | 61c | 479.43$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.6 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Lakers | 27c | 476$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Lakers | 43c | 474.54$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.47 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Lakers | 17c | 445.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Mavericks | 55c | 428.75$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.28 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Lakers | 56c | 421.07$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.73 | 352 | 35.2%124 W · 228 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Mavericks | 51c | 410.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +210.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Lakers | 52c | 407$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.11 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Lakers | 27c | 402.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…8e75backed Lakers | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lakers | 29c | 394.2$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Lakers | 46c | 372$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.12 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Lakers | 55c | 369.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Mavericks | 45c | 365.54$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.05 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mavericks | 57c | 350$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.05 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Lakers | 39c | 347.14$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Mavericks | 54c | 338.05$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Lakers | 36c | 336.22$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.04 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lakers | 32c | 336$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Mavericks | 45c | 331.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Lakers | 27c | 325.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Lakers | 29c | 324.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.46 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 34c | 306.81$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Mavericks | 37c | 300$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…2dfcbacked Mavericks | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…e062backed Lakers | 45c | 299.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Mavericks | 78c | 289.7$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Lakers | 30c | 285$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…784abacked Lakers | 64c | 281.25$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Mavericks | 31c | 268.05$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.95 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Lakers | 21c | 268$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Lakers | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…340dbacked Lakers | 31c | 257.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Lakers | 31c | 250$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.