NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13c7f32e8e94f9238ed45a05b68d7925d80883e6c4fb0c0e7951e7df6dba4dfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Wizards, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $958,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $925,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $958,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 12c | 132,717$15,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,366.65 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…26fbbacked Wizards | 11c | 104,000$11,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,440 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 11c | 42,730$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870.59 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…1795backed Wizards | 11c | 34,000$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Wizards | 11c | 30,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wizards | 12c | 28,520$3,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420.74 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Wizards | 11c | 25,555$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.6 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Wizards | 11c | 20,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 12c | 17,346$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.35 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e0…1f91backed Wizards | 12c | 11,500$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Wizards | 2c | 10,078$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.12 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Wizards | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards | 12c | 8,710$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.19 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Wizards | 0c | 7,749$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Wizards | 12c | 7,246$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 10c | 7,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Wizards | 5c | 6,817$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.55 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards | 0c | 6,695$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards | 10c | 6,589$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.94 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…14d2backed Wizards | 11c | 6,400$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 12c | 6,100$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Wizards | 11c | 5,928$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 12c | 5,533$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…3156backed Wizards | 9c | 5,510$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 503 | 38.4%193 W · 310 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Wizards | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Wizards | 5c | 4,997$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.31 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Wizards | 10c | 4,893$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.34 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wizards | 10c | 3,325$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.03 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Wizards | 13c | 3,174$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.16 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 14c | 3,093$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.81 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Wizards | 11c | 3,050$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Wizards | 13c | 2,965$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.25 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Wizards | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 267 | 29.2%78 W · 189 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…f533backed Wizards | 1c | 2,330$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 0c | 2,310$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Wizards | 15c | 2,235$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.03 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Wizards | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Wizards | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Wizards | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Wizards | 13c | 1,923$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…03eebacked Wizards | 12c | 1,693$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked Wizards | 14c | 1,632$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.47 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Wizards | 11c | 1,530$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 167 | 30.5%51 W · 116 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Wizards | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Wizards | 14c | 1,209$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.26 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Wizards | 12c | 1,167$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab0a…55adbacked Wizards | 2c | 1,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa3…56e1backed Wizards | 11c | 1,081$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Wizards | 10c | 1,068$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Wizards | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb800…e43abacked Wizards | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…eaa2backed Wizards | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…5f6dbacked Wizards | 1c | 999.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Wizards | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…2fcebacked Wizards | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Wizards | 15c | 847.56$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…316bbacked Wizards | 12c | 846.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…180ebacked Wizards | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…be86backed Wizards | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Wizards | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…44d5backed Wizards | 11c | 771.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f3…4f98backed Wizards | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Wizards | 12c | 750$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…f773backed Wizards | 11c | 704.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +57%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…36f5backed Wizards | 12c | 666.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Wizards | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…08a9backed Wizards | 13c | 615.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…940ebacked Wizards | 11c | 612.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x624c…0cc7backed Wizards | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Wizards | 11c | 550$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Wizards | 12c | 547.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe34…e166backed Wizards | 9c | 543$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 521 | 37.2%194 W · 327 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…3f90backed Wizards | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61c…83a9backed Wizards | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Wizards | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ab…42a1backed Wizards | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Wizards | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…3b47backed Wizards | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Wizards | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 310 | 55.5%172 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…26a3backed Wizards | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…7e25backed Wizards | 12c | 434.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…95c3backed Wizards | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 46.3%93 W · 108 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Wizards | 6c | 406$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Wizards | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Wizards | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…bb51backed Wizards | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…59babacked Wizards | 11c | 394.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1a69backed Wizards | 14c | 364.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…70ddbacked Wizards | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c33…30d9backed Wizards | 13c | 339.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Wizards | 12c | 326.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…4ad6backed Wizards | 11c | 318.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…77febacked Wizards | 11c | 309.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce44…3002backed Wizards | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d7…84e0backed Wizards | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Wizards | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Spursthis page
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Spurs won
- Wizards vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Wizards vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Spurs: O/U 241.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.