TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,686
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,686 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 671 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d0f…4faabacked Clippers61c32,916$20,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,785.023348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Kings39c28,182$10,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,989.778333.7%28 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings21c15,225$3,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,217.911,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings9c14,932$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.333,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb12f…15d1backed Kings38c14,877$5,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,656.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Clippers62c7,831$4,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.4269852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Kings24c4,566$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.7947448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked Kings30c3,456$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.63053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kings10c3,327$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.71,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Kings39c3,015$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.872,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Kings13c3,000$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.4265218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings13c2,446$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.0181529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x287c…8c39backed Clippers62c1,616$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.131650%8 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+42.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Kings40c1,400$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.3812143%52 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8d…f2c7backed Kings54c1,343$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+53.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings32c1,211$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.822,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kings39c1,203$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.8673647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c5…1cc8backed Clippers60c1,200$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ef…7db1backed Clippers60c1,077$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Kings42c999.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42020034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Clippers64c939.06$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.0693036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Clippers62c937$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.733540%14 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc722…1334backed Kings5c800$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4212427.4%34 W · 90 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Kings39c612.64$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.9324634.1%84 W · 162 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Kings20c600$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11838151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Kings22c568.99$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1395848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings2c550$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Kings12c505.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.123250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Clippers59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Clippers62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5340…5e2bbacked Clippers61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1956048.3%29 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Clippers63c486$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.825855.2%32 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Kings26c437.86$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.845152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Kings9c420$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.812222.1%27 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Clippers59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16465649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc34…8e75backed Kings4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16180%0 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Kings25c377$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.327960.8%48 W · 31 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Clippers73c376.52$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.441,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Clippers59c368.9$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3959743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Kings28c341$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2425836.8%95 W · 163 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf144…f2bbbacked Kings41c334.15$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a6…b9c7backed Clippers60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+175.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfeb…620bbacked Clippers60c327.47$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.991266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dbf…784abacked Clippers64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.57139.4%28 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Clippers62c310$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.870153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Clippers47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15911245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Clippers73c294.71$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7136356.5%205 W · 158 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x980d…985fbacked Kings6c294.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.657230.6%22 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Kings38c274.37$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.932,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Clippers61c229.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5134747%163 W · 184 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781e…2484backed Kings7c225$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.31330.8%4 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick13cpaid+210.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd19e…fabbbacked Kings42c205.01$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.272630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Clippers58c202.62$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6339051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b0…0197backed Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8194…22adbacked Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa5…f03cbacked Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6e…5f91backed Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x117d…7010backed Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3647…b903backed Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4688…af37backed Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb1b6…6595backed Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc822…d1bfbacked Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dfb…3943backed Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7767…c984backed Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x49af…c3eabacked Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1536…d8cebacked Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+44%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5ddb…07d2backed Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46e0…d02ebacked Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd35…1ab1backed Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0039…3576backed Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0622…8f43backed Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4da…1698backed Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a9e…54a8backed Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf0…4fbdbacked Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24f…3d87backed Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e1…998bbacked Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd15a…6d6bbacked Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…2764backed Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb36c…5bbbbacked Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73bf…23c5backed Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3759…72cdbacked Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-41%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf023…0232backed Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ae…301dbacked Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6637…bfeebacked Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4cf…a347backed Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cc…3b9fbacked Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7552…c727backed Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.7wins-0.39per pick48cpaid-81.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd14c…13efbacked Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb670…c06abacked Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfafd…ff3ebacked Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92d3…2e8cbacked Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7da…de45backed Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-61.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3f49…d992backed Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05f4…da75backed Clippers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9014…45a5backed Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.6wins-0.33per pick54cpaid-63.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x68bf…6730backed Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1192…20d7backed Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc368…1c45backed Kings40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.29per pick48cpaid-68.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.