Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-10-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf611d697de47c5e702313d526e1ed01f378b0e85009febc3bd70dc25928d1f74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 48c | 3,600$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 51c | 2,114$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.74 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 50c | 1,782$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.56 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 1,418$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.44 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked No | 48c | 765.71$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 52c | 429.71$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 52c | 367.9$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.53 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d50…e48bbacked Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 52c | 193.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 53c | 190.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 48c | 176.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…3f82backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x075c…d827backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 46c | 136.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 64c | 80.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +310.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…efc6backed No | 41c | 41.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Yes | 70c | 32.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a60…e87abacked Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…f5ddbacked Yes | 63c | 23.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-10-31?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-10-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.