Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x823c073525927b3d7d92214bfcbf122f05b563df8e608850cead92697507e85e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $566,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $773,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $566,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 60c | 198,988$118,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,354.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 41c | 75,168$30,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,472.75 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 40c | 61,218$24,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,787.47 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 57c | 60,000$34,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,800 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 59,103$24,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,101.12 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked No | 43c | 59,015$25,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,403.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 58c | 13,236$7,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,509.24 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 40c | 10,224$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,089.7 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 40c | 10,162$4,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,027.99 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 58c | 9,975$5,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.32 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 40c | 4,726$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.62 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 42c | 3,340$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.84 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 58c | 2,800$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 58c | 2,588$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.81 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 41c | 2,506$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.68 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 58c | 2,400$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 44c | 2,290$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 1,843$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.12 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 40c | 1,810$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.14 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 42c | 1,746$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.32 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 40c | 1,313$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.2 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…d178backed No | 42c | 1,274$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 40c | 1,112$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 40c | 1,022$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 58c | 925.19$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.19 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…f4c1backed No | 41c | 900.19$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 58c | 899.66$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.66 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked Yes | 57c | 777$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 54c | 711.43$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.26 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed No | 41c | 625$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 33c | 590.45$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.42 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 63c | 590$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 56c | 549.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.99 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 22c | 537.87$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.33 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 58c | 520.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.08 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 57c | 515$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.45 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 59c | 499.08$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.62 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 78c | 483$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 59c | 477.82$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.82 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 42c | 447.62$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 20c | 440.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 58c | 405.76$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.42 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 80c | 375.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 4c | 367$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 46c | 341$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.86 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c0…59d9backed Yes | 61c | 325$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 41c | 310.54$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 60c | 310$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 42c | 299.96$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 6c | 240$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 39c | 220$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 42c | 218$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 40c | 206.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 42c | 194.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 42c | 186.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 57c | 173.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 67cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 42c | 129.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 58c | 129$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 58c | 118$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 41c | 107$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…9502backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x600e…5ab6backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…1938backed Yes | 60c | 98.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…6e58backed Yes | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked No | 41c | 77.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…5eb3backed Yes | 58c | 75.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 72c | 53.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed No | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 42c | 49.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5d…d1a1backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…3816backed No | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582b…20afbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…63b2backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…ec38backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-04?this page
- Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. Union Berlin end in a draw?No won
- Will Union Berlin win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.