Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $117K September 8–14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d2ff4a3b06efc488cfe32e8eb76f7a353f39b3fc7c6e3439a7d7088d92f1d23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $326,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $337,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes | 26c | 22,823$5,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,863.3 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 36c | 14,507$5,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,276.54 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 37c | 9,675$3,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.92 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 30c | 8,921$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.81 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 43c | 4,290$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.69 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 49c | 4,263$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.82 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…e275backed No | 67c | 4,054$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…f652backed No | 34c | 4,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed No | 57c | 3,924$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.99 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 38c | 3,640$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.8 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed No | 67c | 2,855$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 32c | 2,854$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.19 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…1331backed Yes | 3c | 2,230$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed No | 68c | 2,059$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.82 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked No | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…06eebacked Yes | 14c | 1,167$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…4346backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked No | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 33c | 730$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.9 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…e2c0backed No | 61c | 730$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.37 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c6…8effbacked No | 34c | 581.09$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 6c | 547.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Yes | 32c | 540$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9266backed No | 78c | 515.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x867d…3f3bbacked Yes | 72c | 511$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896f…9cd4backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b8…0a32backed No | 72c | 460$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.3 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 33c | 456$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.46 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 444.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3c83backed No | 78c | 413.86$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6e…c9dbbacked Yes | 36c | 409.72$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d3debacked No | 68c | 386.83$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.05 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 35c | 349.68$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.87 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78a…7166backed Yes | 49c | 338$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…7a3abacked No | 57c | 320$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +149%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b7…74acbacked No | 54c | 315$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…28e9backed No | 64c | 314.44$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…98b8backed Yes | 45c | 287$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5551…5616backed Yes | 48c | 264$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…71b6backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…6cb0backed No | 56c | 223.15$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e8…a3fdbacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked No | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed No | 69c | 199.82$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf14e…86efbacked Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…b506backed No | 68c | 145.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 31c | 140$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e7…b286backed No | 71c | 123.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e37…4a79backed Yes | 49c | 122$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…29d8backed No | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c5…98ecbacked No | 55c | 106$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +138%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…16e6backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9456…4f9fbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127b…5c1fbacked No | 52c | 89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b7…5456backed Yes | 69c | 81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…94c3backed No | 55c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…44f5backed Yes | 24c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bd…28c4backed No | 55c | 62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked No | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Yes | 41c | 58.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8464…5579backed No | 67c | 57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…9bb9backed No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed No | 67c | 54.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…de81backed No | 45c | 52.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…07d1backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…1e20backed No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 68c | 41.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…472cbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c13…8834backed No | 62c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e47…e1ecbacked No | 60c | 36.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ed…6943backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf8…564ebacked Yes | 62c | 32.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…b8c9backed No | 53c | 30.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…1319backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…a3c3backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5621…7d7dbacked Yes | 34c | 29.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b0…ead2backed Yes | 45c | 29.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c0…c012backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…1003backed No | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…7af4backed No | 73c | 19.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…6958backed No | 75c | 18.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…2c8ebacked Yes | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b1…2febbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $117K September 8–14?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K September 8–14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $102K September 8–14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $104K September 8–14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $106K September 8–14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $108K September 8–14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $110K September 8–14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $98K September 8–14?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $113K September 8–14?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115K September 8–14?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $119K September 8–14?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $121K September 8–14?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $123K September 8–14?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K September 8–14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.