Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc516aaff7f8891853a889b4ff47a7b21368f0617c6488f14642b1c64264d856c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 53c | 8,031$4,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,288.65 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 27c | 7,996$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,847.08 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 10c | 2,040$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 78c | 1,936$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.11 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 21c | 1,744$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.69 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 1,627$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.45 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 70c | 1,466$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.2 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 32c | 1,292$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.8 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 980.93$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.9 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 777$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.21 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 74c | 460.55$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.75 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 6c | 226.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.02 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +204.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed No | 79c | 172.78$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 74cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…c664backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 33c | 134.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e7…f80fbacked Yes | 49c | 106.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 78c | 86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 77c | 76.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 41c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…5d78backed Yes | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 71c | 70.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…770fbacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3c…b62abacked Yes | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Yes | 78c | 26.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…2f96backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…2c8ebacked Yes | 67c | 21.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…070ebacked Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.