Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x785cb84757abc0166b5ba225480ca3b550bfdfecb1aa326851b8c1cb994bf3dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 45c | 24,901$11,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,205.45 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 12,478$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.33 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 6,818$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.6 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 78c | 2,161$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.7 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 46c | 1,271$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.04 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 16c | 281$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 56c | 277.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes | 45c | 126.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9341…0fa0backed Yes | 52c | 88.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 54c | 83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 54c | 70.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-26?Yes won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.