TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Georgia win on 2025-09-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x11fc…dc48backed Yes72c9,250$6,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,618.772536%9 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No29c8,279$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.123243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No27c5,831$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.5221140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No27c4,527$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.429232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes74c3,918$2,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.574,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No28c3,300$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.9823622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes72c2,064$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.9622846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcde3…002dbacked Yes74c2,017$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.46785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9305…e605backed Yes73c1,623$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.213100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes71c1,401$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.074454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.864768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No20c1,365$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.0228133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e0…94b0backed Yes77c1,143$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No29c1,103$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32012525.6%32 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked No28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806540%26 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705042%21 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No30c992.85$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8213419.4%26 W · 108 L+0.3wins0.00per pick19cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c964.63$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.843,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed No10c831.85$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.331323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No28c700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1962317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36f8…4dc3backed Yes70c672.35$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Yes74c655.41$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.411250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Yes78c638.71$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes73c632.91$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.128855.7%49 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes74c622.35$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.81560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+83.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No30c599.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1809618.8%18 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ba…aa45backed Yes73c550.88$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.883100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e8…2e6dbacked Yes73c543.14$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.131154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No28c529$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1214040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd4a…048ebacked No26c499.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes73c476.71$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.717058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2230…a66cbacked Yes74c400$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.494100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…5bd1backed Yes78c376.92$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes74c256.76$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7613159.5%78 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked No28c250$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712737%10 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1324…3931backed Yes73c232.3$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.721861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92c1…d6bfbacked Yes73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Yes71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b86…c943backed Yes78c192.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes77c168.83$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.834961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes78c163.41$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9510629.2%31 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No29c160.36$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8116946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No26c155.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.567160.6%43 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes77c152.19$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No23c143.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.968359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8510749.5%53 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Yes71c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac3e…9decbacked Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9936038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x944e…7f73backed Yes75c133.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.751266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…9803backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Yes73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.41668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf0d…5077backed Yes70c115.54$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa967…a71dbacked Yes75c111.33$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.87580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92e9…e440backed Yes65c108$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes72c97.58$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.321338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No33c89.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9139621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes78c87$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.149643.8%42 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.517138%27 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511554.8%63 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.422744.4%12 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x467e…c62dbacked Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.423863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.52673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2808…2c7dbacked Yes73c42.71$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94b7…2c8ebacked No38c42.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.256144.3%27 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a21…0229backed Yes71c37.37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes74c37.03$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.631464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0f…addabacked Yes69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.233268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Yes72c33.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.433259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b89…f981backed Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xded7…1ef1backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick65cpaid+3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x273a…6d54backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes73c25.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.012842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02be…d803backed Yes71c25.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.451050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d73…a285backed Yes73c25.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3af…b073backed Yes73c20.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…811abacked Yes60c20.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.05812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-79.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes77c19.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.43246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed Yes71c14.09$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.093868.4%26 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.