Fifa International · resolved market
Will England win on 2025-10-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fbdd639a7e47c1671603f84b1bb1581f8045261c8ccc251a663f8459e5ad88a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 77c | 2,972$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.68 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 20c | 2,960$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.48 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 2,357$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.77 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 80c | 2,216$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.12 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 24c | 1,968$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.27 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 19c | 1,752$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.79 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 25c | 1,250$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.87 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 18c | 1,174$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.38 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 23c | 944.42$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.17 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f75…9004backed Yes | 80c | 899.5$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 20c | 883.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.64 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 23c | 640.1$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a4…fd52backed Yes | 78c | 586.61$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 20c | 555$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 21c | 395.42$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8877…8ad4backed Yes | 78c | 361.13$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 80c | 260$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…799ebacked Yes | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 20c | 235.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 21c | 220.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 21c | 204.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked No | 24c | 170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd58…99bebacked Yes | 78c | 153.46$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 78c | 145.91$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…2c8ebacked Yes | 77c | 129.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 21c | 105.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…f2fdbacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7846…3a40backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…6b38backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +174.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…e46fbacked Yes | 76c | 97.36$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…46ffbacked Yes | 78c | 63.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…2d56backed Yes | 78c | 57.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…0c84backed No | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc446…c175backed Yes | 78c | 53.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…a48dbacked No | 23c | 53.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16c…60e9backed Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…7e61backed Yes | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 78c | 42.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…7949backed Yes | 78c | 35.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…9afcbacked Yes | 77c | 35.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…5592backed Yes | 78c | 25.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…8e0ebacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1435…0028backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…440ebacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaab…0979backed Yes | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0e…04babacked Yes | 78c | 20.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3874…dd21backed Yes | 78c | 15.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf0…0a7bbacked Yes | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8d…ce3abacked Yes | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England win on 2025-10-09?this page
- Will England vs. Wales end in a draw?No won
- Will Wales win on 2025-10-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.